Surely you've already heard the story of the AL East: the last place Toronto Blue Jays go from worst to first in the division. Then they go all the way to the 9th inning in Game 7 of the World Series before losing a heartbreaker. Now the roster could be…
It's a tradition at this point. My undervaluing the Milwaukee Brewers and this division as a whole. The Brew Crew claimed another division crown with rocking chair ease down the stretch. For better or worse, this is a division that sent three teams to the postseason with one of those…
Last year's NL East race turned into a runaway when the New York Mets hit their well documented second half collapse. Philadelphia's half-game lead at the All-Star Break steadily grew as the Metropolitans ultimately yielded their wild card berth to the Cincinnati Reds, possibly sparing themselves from a postseason defeat…
What an insane finish to the AL Central race between a hard-charging Guardians squad and the leaking oil down the freeway Tigers. This well-documented reversal of fortune began on July 9th as Detroit steadily relinquished a 15.5 game lead over Cleveland. Even more wild is how the Tigers' lead was…
The MLB Morning Breakdown returns after a brief hiatus while on the road, just in time for next week's All-Star Break. Volume is down on my end as my handicapping aligns with the market too frequently these days. This annual slowdown has prompted a big push on my player prop…
Back to the normal mid-week spot for this week's Breakdown although the rare weekend handicap actually came through without much sweat. The first five inning route was slightly less profitable than going with the full game though. Regardless, the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-25-2025 heads west to Petco Park for…
A rare weekend post is on deck as summer is officially upon us. It's long overdue - as is a featured handicap winner. So let's get right to the point with a solo shot in the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-21-2025. BOL to your action this weekend... MILWAUKEE BREWERS @…
Good to be back in the saddle after a great trip to BetCrushers HQ last week that was not without some unplanned excitement. The first two days of this week have been the epitome of choppy with a 2-2-1 record worth +0.02 units. There are some promising spots on the…
Only few days into June and it feels like this season is flying by. Some teams are on the verge of checking out; others finding their stride and making hay. This week's feature involves a pair of teams in an in-between state of affairs who delivered a wild one in…
One-third of the MLB season is in the books and there aren't a ton of secrets left. Ronald Acuna Jr. is back and as good as ever, Ohtani continues to mash, and Zach Wheeler still delivers elite consistency at the head of a stocked Philadelphia rotation. Some things are close…
There's no shortage of story lines across the MLB landscape as we near two months into the 2025 season. Managers have been ousted, long winning and losing streaks come and gone, and several teams have begun to pull away from their division foes - for now, at least. Handicapping and…
I've slacked lately with getting handicaps out and definitely regret not having the time yesterday morning to break down a pair of really good pitching matchups out West. And, no, my absence has nothing to do with being on the wrong side of San Francisco's "historic" 11th inning last Tuesday.…
We left off last Tuesday with a Nats-Phillies divisional tilt that concluded with two 9th inning comebacks. Fortunately there was next to no drama at Citi Field where the -1 run line got there early. In other good news, Mother Nature appears to be accommodating in the east where wet…
This week's fresh slate of series features nine divisional showdowns and a couple top starting pitcher matchups. We'll pass on the Webb/Pivetta pairing in San Diego but dive into a good one in Philadelphia for our featured handicap. It's a great place to start off the MLB Morning Breakdown for…
Yesterday's featured handicap between NL East leaders was as good as advertised with both Christopher Sanchez and Griffin Canning working out of early jams before the Mets broke it open late once again. Today's feature pits a pair of aces in the third of a four-game set in San Francisco…
The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-22-2025 returns after getting back into the groove of non-vacation life. I kept the handicapping wheels in motion while spending a week in San Diego. Now I'm caught up with everything after the Easter holiday and a hectic Monday. Time to hop back into the…
Monday's solo shot in the desert was, in fact, fruitful despite my hesitation. Gunnar Henderson's 2-for-5 evening with a pair of runs and stolen bases may have knocked the rust off of the O's shortstop. His contribution led to a much-needed win for Baltimore, especially after last night's close loss.…
Rain stuck around a little longer than expected Saturday in Boston, postponing our feature and creating a Sunday doubleheader that pushed the Red Sox into second place in the AL East. The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-7-2025 heads to the desert where the last place Orioles and .500 Diamondbacks look…
First off, apologies for no Friday post as advertised. We got hammered by a strong storm overnight and I got tied up with cleanup before getting on with the day. Tuesday's all-day affair on the diamonds produced mixed results on my end as totals were enigmatic with strong winds abound.…
Gotta give it to the Cincinnati Reds for punishing every mistake that Kumar Rocker and the Texas Rangers made Monday night. Elly himself busted the under 9 wager that was doomed from the start. Props to Brady Singer for his incredible outing - poise and great movement on his pitches…
New series kick off across the MLB including 8 interleague battles. We left off Saturday with a first 5 inning position in Miami that caught the inevitable push with two uninspiring offenses at work. A "mini opening day" starts in a few hours with several mid-afternoon games and a full…
For better or worse, late inning drama was everywhere on Opening Day. It was certainly instrumental in getting the two positions in our post to the pay window. The over in Kansas City was all but shriveled up on the vine until the 8th run came across in the final…
Last week's two-game Tokyo Series appetizer course is over and done with. Now the 2025 Opening Day buffet is well within sight with 14 games served up. Colorado/Tampa Bay kicks off their seasons Friday. ICYMI, the Rays are playing their games at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa this season…
Hungry for the MLB season to get started? How about an appetizer to hold you over? With just over one week until the official Opening Day, we get the 2025 Tokyo Series two-game set between the Chicago Cubs and World Series Champion Los Angeles Dodgers. The series spans Tuesday, March…
For a few months anyhow, the Seattle Mariners looked to be the cream of the AL West crop. Then things went sideways. Trust the Houston Astros to take advantage of the stumble and push their way back to a seventh division crown in the last eight seasons. No thanks to…
What a change of fortunes within the AL East last year. The Yankees and Rays all but swapped their positions in the AL East pecking order. The Orioles kept their eyes on the postseason prize while the floor dropped out from beneath the Jays. And the Red Sox, well, they're…
The NL Central typically has the feel of an "up for grabs" division except in reality it's been a two-horse race - at best - since the shortened 2020 season. Milwaukee stands as the cream of the crop the last couple years, though the Cubs have positioned themselves well into…
The Dodgers' stranglehold on the NL West continued with an eleventh division title in the last twelve seasons. This time, however, the big payoff came to fruition. After two postseason runs stopped dead in their tracks by division foes, Los Angeles fought through a feisty Padres squad and the OMG…
If the final month of last year's race is any indication of what's in store, the NL East is going to be one of the better showdowns in the MLB. Philadelphia, New York, and Atlanta stand at the head of the class with odds to win the division at 2/1…
Infamously known for a lack of widespread playoff-caliber competition, the AL Central turned out to have one of the better divisional races of the 2024 season. Cleveland held firm as one of the more consistent teams while Chicago broke records with their "performance". For anyone paying attention to the MLB…
Inclement weather was indeed a factor in Friday night's AL East contest in the Bronx. Then again, so were the Blue Jays' bats! But in my case nothing ventured, nothing gained with the scrappy underdog that evening. Now we shift to the AL West for a Texas-sized series that could…
I think I've nailed down all of my Trade Deadline adjustments. What a whirlwind once again between buyers, sellers, and even a few in-between clubs straddling the line. After a slim Thursday slate, the MLB Morning Breakdown for 8-2-2024 gets back in action to handicap the series opener between the…
Our first post-ASB edition comes after a full seven days of action on the diamonds. And with the trade deadline looming, we're starting to find out which borderline clubs are buyers and which are sellers. The MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-26-2024 hones in on the competitive AL East in which…
Monday's slate certainly wasn't worth pounding on the keyboard for. But when it comes to the series-opening game between National League titans, I'm willing to set the alarm clock an hour early. The Los Angeles Dodgers travel cross-country into hostile territory to trade blows with the Philadelphia Phillies. Both clubs…
Expect no shortage of motivation in Seattle tonight as the 53-31 Baltimore Orioles face the 47-39 Mariners in a clash of American League division leaders. The AL East co-leader Orioles find themselves in a high-powered race with the Yankees, currently sitting as the 1-2 combo atop the runs scored leaderboard.…
The grind rolls on as summertime settled in abruptly last week. Fortunately, many of us - including the MLB's finest - catch a break from the steamy hot weather that has gripped most of the USA. Conditions are great for baseball tonight, so let's jump right into the new week…
R.I.P. to a legend. A pillar of the sport's storied past. On with the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-19-2024... Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves (ATL -125, 7) Last time we checked in on the Braves, Albert Suarez was cutting through the lineup like a hot knife through butter. Then Atlanta's…
Monday's lackluster slate pulled a couple totals wagers out of me with mixed results. As for inspiration to write up a handicap yesterday morning, slim to none is a good way of putting it with those six games. Different animal altogether on this fine Tuesday morning. So let's get things…
The Breakdown is back after a 10-day bucket list trip to Peru where the streets are crazy and the terrain is epic. Those Incas really knew how to hammer some stones! Back to business after Monday's short slate. Today's menu presents more options and the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-4-2024…
It's Monday morning and the perfect time to scope out a batch of fresh series kicking off across the Majors. There's also a doubleheader day to close out the Padres/Braves series, but those are a pass for me. Instead, the MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-20-2024 highlights the AL Central leading…
The 2024 MLB season is roughly one-quarter of the way finished, making now a great time to self-assess our preseason projections. Where are things on track? And more importantly, where has JJ's outlook led him astray? Weather is improving across the country but recent cooler temps have reminded us how…
Monday ushers in a handful of new series getting underway, joining a weekend carryover in Philadelphia. Divisional battles in Cleveland and Oakland shape up to be interesting early-season tests. This week's Breakdown turns to Target Field with a pair of teams on the right trajectory as May comes into bloom.…
The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-29-2024 takes on a matchup between squads exiting big series against playoff contenders. In the meantime, an interesting thing to note: we're 4+ weeks into the 2024 season and scoring is down about one-tenth of a run per team/game compared to this point last year.…
A little too much "excitement" at the day job kept me away from a midweek Breakdown. Fortunately, the new week kicks off with a pretty chunky Monday slate to break down. Without a ton of strong feelings on today's contests, we've dialed up an interesting Solo Shot in the MLB…
Rain and travel washed out the Thursday Breakdown but Monday is clear and the slate is jam packed. The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-15-2024 kicks off with the early Patriots' Day tilt in Boston before heading to Milwaukee for a juicy matchup between NL playoff contenders. We'll be back Wednesday…
A telling resolution to yesterday's question about which way to go in Toronto came down to Luis Castillo extending his troubling start to the season to a third outing. 4 more runs given up and another high BABIP outing helped the Jays snag a much needed win in their home…
We left off with a Friday night Solo Shot before the weekend hit and I headed west on the highway. The Mets bats had enough oomph to claim the team's second win of the season, all while keeping the under alive in Cincinnati. With the weekend in the rear view…
Cool temps couldn't hold the ball in the yard in Saint Louis or Washington, that's for sure. And despite plenty of shaky moments, the AL Central tilt in Minnesota featured in yesterday's post somehow stayed under the total. Cleveland's hit parade in the 3rd was enough to bring home the…
Mother Nature might actually cut today's action on the diamonds some much needed slack - especially in New York where the undefeated Tigers want to keep their status as the last remaining undefeated team alive. The Tigers/Mets double header makes six games on the slate with a pair of AL…
The sloppy show in Cincinnati soured Baltimore's rocking chair winner Saturday afternoon. Being risk averse helped in that case, though getting involved in what turned out to be a messy one is another story altogether. A productive opening weekend left us ready to tackle a meaty Monday slate that is…
Opening Day is in the books and what a ride Thursday's 4:00 window was. The excitement and the sweats that came with it force me to remind myself that we're only 12 wagers into a 400-600 wager season! With yesterday afternoon's pair of rescheduled games wrapping up unfinished business, the…
Alright boys and girls, March 28th is so close you can taste it. And that means one thing - okay, maybe more than just one - it's time for a rundown of 2024 Opening Day handicapping. Then we'll kick off the 6th Annual MLB Morning Breakdown series with a featured…
The "real" Opening Day isn't until March 28th but the MLB World Tour's 2024 Seoul Series officially counts as the first two games of the season. Festivities kick off with a two-game set between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres across the Pacific Ocean. It's a shorter commute…
Milwaukee persevered in a division of hot runs devoid of staying power. Of course, perennial NL Central favorite St. Louis bottoming out did not hurt whatsoever. The 20-8 start from Pittsburgh flamed out, Cincinnati's early summer heater ran out of fuel, and the Cubbies' post-ASB run petered out in September.…
What a difference one year makes! Sure, the Baltimore Orioles gave us a sneak peak of their future plans in 2022 but last year's achievements were far and away one of the MLB's biggest surprises. Despite Tampa Bay's 29-7 start to the campaign, Baltimore outlasted the Rays in the division…
When it comes to last year's preseason expectations, the NL East showed tremendous strength with four of its five teams ultimately exceeding their win totals. The debacle in Queens stood as the lone exception. That's a whole other story onto itself. Marginal clubs like the Marlins and Nationals finished the…
Last year I asked whether there were enough cracks in L.A.'s armor to unseat them from the NL West throne. The answer was a resounding "no". But things quickly went downhill once the postseason rolled around. Ironically, the Dodgers' early exit came at the hands of no other than the…
From a torrid 40-20 start through a ho-hum summer, the Texas Rangers played the role of postseason road warriors on their way to the franchise's first World Series Championship. 11 of their 13 playoff wins came away from Globe Life Field! The Rangers' third AL Pennant came at the expense…
We're becoming big fans of the AL Central after a correlated under/over win total pairing with Chicago and Minnesota got home. And that was one year removed from being rewarded for buying low on both Minnesota and Cleveland. (Don't worry, this self-back slapping gives way to shame in the NL…
It only took three days or so but I think I've finished making adjustments after a hectic Trade Deadline last week. Teams are crystallizing into their stretch run forms as the grind continues in the first half of August with a full slate of Tuesday baseball. And the search for…
A ho-hum week and choppy weekend right aligned well with the dog days of summer while leaving me in the game with an interesting Monday slate ahead. As July comes to a close, it drags along with it the MLB trade deadline where hopeful contenders pair up with sellers to…
Much like taking a catcher's mask to the face, failure to plate an early run or two in Anaheim left last Monday's Solo Shot - and my only wager of the evening - a tad short. I appreciate both bullpens following the script, but an L is an L. A…
Boston's decisive victory Friday night was more than welcome coming out of the All-Star Break. Plus it jumpstarted a busy weekend on the diamonds that provides a bright spot for the week ahead. A strong outing from Brayan Bello and late run support got us to the pay window, shaking…
The second half of the 2023 MLB season is here after what seemed like the longest All-Star Break in a while. I missed the game and I missed handicapping it even though the break lined up well with a hectic workweek. The lackluster first half of featured handicaps represented about…
Indecision on my part with Wednesday's Jays/White Sox game simply did not matter as Chicago succumbed to another day getting pounded by rain. Today I'll shift gears to a conflict between the market and my numbers that has me locked up this morning. The issue is whether to do something…
Last Thursday's whiff came in the middle of an up-and-down betting week that gave way to a two-day break for the July 4th holiday. We have five days of "first half" action left in the 2023 season before the All-Star Break rolls around on Monday. So let's get back in…
Less sweat, more profit. That's something I can get behind. A rare dub for the featured handicaps leads into an interesting slate of matinee baseball on this fine Thursday. My betting card is all totals and the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-29-2023 takes us to a steamy Kauffman Stadium for…
An uneventful start to the betting week leads into a low-volume Wednesday with just a pair of wagers in hand this morning. I'll take what the slate gives me as the season rolls along with less than two weeks before the All-Star Break. After splitting Friday night's featured handicaps, it's…
Last week's puff piece about the Cincinnati Reds' heater was ironically hung out to dry via a failed team total bid. Never fear though, their bats revved back up to close out the weekend series in Houston strong and keep the funds rolling in the right direction. I would apologize…
A sketchy 6th inning in Oakland made things interesting yesterday afternoon to say the least. But that goes with the territory with full game unders...and I wouldn't have it any other way. Let's switch gears today to a pair of team totals in a late MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-16-2023.…
I won't say the L train has been derailed but at least the Giants slowed the thing down a bit. San Francisco's smooth sailing over their team total Tuesday night helps the featured handicaps a touch as we roll into another solo shot in the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-15-2023.…
A close call with the Marlins Friday evening unfortunately did not pay the bills. Eury did his part to push the first half wager, though the full game position keeps the featured handicap L train rolling down the tracks. It's borderline comical what kind of garbage I'm tossing out there…
Life after vacation has a way of punching you in the mouth...at least for us suckers with day jobs. The choppy betting week meets a slate that I have embraced with a card as full as the days before heading overseas. Overextended? Maybe. It's Friday though, and Smokey had it…
What a long strange trip it's been. That was to be expected with Amsterdam anyhow. Getting home from Germany took an unexpected twist though, eating up all of Sunday and most of Monday. It's good to get our feet back on U.S. soil and get my handicapping tools updated after…
Last weekend's 1-1 split with the featured handicaps paints an accurate picture of my total action on the diamonds the last week or two. Choppy weeks are part of the grind and I've learned to take the chop in stride at this point in my handicapping "career". As opposed to…
At this point, our features gladly welcomed some 8th inning heroics to get a much-needed win. Baltimore's failure to produce in the 6th & 7th innings with multiple runners on base went by the wayside when Ryan O'Hearn picked up the slack in a major way. Still plenty of work…
Between a crazy work schedule and a 101-degree fever this week, I'm just happy it's the weekend. We all hit rough patches here and there but vacation is right around the corner so the vibes are good around these parts! No complaints overall with progress this season other than weakness…
Handicapping on a daily basis is a challenge that I've loved tackle for a long time now. Choosing which ones to headline a few days a week in the Breakdown has been the tough part so far in 2023. Saturday was no different. My reliance on Houston's bullpen and defense…
As good as Eduardo Rodriguez was last week, JV's big day in Cincy overshadowed Wednesday's early win. I made the fatal flaw of underestimating the accomplished veteran and overvaluing the top of the Reds lineup. Thursday's sketchy slate left the door open for Friday action but I left my morning…
I took it personally when the A's pushed a pair of runs across in the 6th inning Monday night, then quickly got over it with the help of Kansas City's rout of the White Sox. Neither Cease nor Cortes were especially effective despite Oakland going scoreless in the first half…
With my civic duty completed and our annual Kentucky Derby party in the books, it's time to get back in the saddle with the MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-8-2023. Minnesota's first half stalemate way back on Tuesday dropped the featured handicaps back into the red. But the season is alive…
Sunday's see-saw battle in Oakland brought home the over even with 18 men left on base between the Reds and A's. Hey, whatever it takes to get the dub is good enough for me. Unfortunately, the new month brought a short Monday slate that I had to pass on. Today's…
Today's MLB slate shrinks with wet weather peppering the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic for a second day in a row. So we'll head west to find clear skies for a solo shot in the MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-30-2023. It felt good to be on the right side of Cincinnati's late-game…
Much like the Rangers' bullpen meltdown Monday night, the "success" of our featured handicaps ran away and appears to be in hiding. That's the risk of writing up about a third of my total action on the young season. For all of you who keep coming back, we appreciate you.…
A rather blah betting weekend for me with the MLB was in the cards after a decent run to start the season. Saturday's Mets call did not come to fruition against an on-point Logan Webb. After all, riding the David Peterson train can be a bumpy ride at times. But…
Turns out it was the Twins bullpen that blinked last night. Credit is due to both Tyler Mahle and Trevor Williams for sharp pitching performances at a cold Target Field. Griffin Jax, well, not so much. After a give some-take some kind of night including a cancelled under ticket in…
Thursday's short MLB slate kept me on the sidelines after a nice Wednesday run featuring the under in Detroit. Three weeks into the season and some teams have shown their true colors while others are still beating around the bush. That makes for very interesting early season handicapping! After a…
No harm, no foul with Monday's position on the Phillies in Chicago. Guess I should have seen that coming with nasty weather blowing through the Great Lakes this week. After a Tuesday with no action - my first dry day of the season - the MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-19-2023…
Getting back to the homefront after a productive week on the road feels good but Monday means out of the frying pan and into the fire for me. A sweaty Saturday at Fenway transitioned to an easier finish in Kansas City to get our featured handicaps back into the black.…
After three straight dropped solo shot features, a winning Thursday was just what the doctor ordered. Since those three positions were the only wagers on Thursday's personal betting card the Rays' big 5th inning was a breath of fresh air. That and fixing what made our website go rogue made…
The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-13-2023 may or may not be reaching your inbox this morning. Our webmaster (me) really fouled up the site yesterday with some updates that went afoul. So I'm firing off a two handicap breakdown before I rebuild several pages and try to get the rest…
Dishing out handicaps with losing results is not quite what I'm going for, but that's been my M.O. in the last couple articles. Regardless, the season rolls on with plenty of action to keep us all busy. Let's fire up Wednesday with an early game solo shot in the MLB…
The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-10-2023 is back after an Easter weekend hiatus...and a dud of a featured handicap on Friday. After spending 8 hours on the highway only to watch the White Sox crumble in Pittsburgh - good thing long term, bad thing for that particular wager - an…
Happy Easter weekend everyone! Wednesday's rainout in Cincy left us with a small 1-unit win as the grind rolls along on Good Friday. It's almost time for me to hit the road, but first a quick solo shot is on the docket with the MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-7-2023. I'll…
I guess playing the bullpen volatility game was the move after all. Lack of execution squandered a shot at sneaking away with the D-backs first 5 innings team total. That was extra frustrating since Darvish was expectedly ripe for the picking. In a Groundhog Day scenario I would bet the…
We needed runs in Cincinnati last night and boy did we get them. Throw a couple of guys out there who struggled all spring and those lineups took batting practice for a good hour or so in Cincinnati. Hey, whatever it takes to get an easy winner after plenty of…
After a quick break on Sunday, the MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-3-2023 returns with a quick solo shot to get the week started. Unfortunately, the last couple featured handicaps were duds to say the least. So I owe our readers some good ones this week. Let's dive right into a…
A swing and a miss with the Mets yesterday was not the look we were going for when backing the short road favorite. Aside from spectacular defense that both clubs flashed, Jesus Luzardo was a man on a mission. The young lefty absolutely dominated the stout Mets lineup and cut…
Opening Day is in the books and was it something or what? Other than our Fenway Park under getting obliterated, we survived a very sweaty day on the diamonds. And I wouldn't have it any other way. The hangover from the first MLB bender of the year is real...and it…
We made it through the offseason. We made it through six grueling Divisional Previews. Now it's showtime. Shameless plug: visit our MLB page to check out the six preview articles and futures positions. March 30th is in sight and we have your 2023 Opening Day handicapping covered with a quick…