MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-1-2024

The sloppy show in Cincinnati soured Baltimore's rocking chair winner Saturday afternoon. Being risk averse helped in that case, though getting involved in what turned out to be a messy one is another story altogether. A productive opening weekend left us ready to tackle a meaty Monday slate that is…

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2024 NL Central Preview & Futures

Milwaukee persevered in a division of hot runs devoid of staying power. Of course, perennial NL Central favorite St. Louis bottoming out did not hurt whatsoever. The 20-8 start from Pittsburgh flamed out, Cincinnati's early summer heater ran out of fuel, and the Cubbies' post-ASB run petered out in September.…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-6-2023

What a long strange trip it's been. That was to be expected with Amsterdam anyhow. Getting home from Germany took an unexpected twist though, eating up all of Sunday and most of Monday. It's good to get our feet back on U.S. soil and get my handicapping tools updated after…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-12-2023

Dishing out handicaps with losing results is not quite what I'm going for, but that's been my M.O. in the last couple articles. Regardless, the season rolls on with plenty of action to keep us all busy. Let's fire up Wednesday with an early game solo shot in the MLB…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-7-2023

Happy Easter weekend everyone! Wednesday's rainout in Cincy left us with a small 1-unit win as the grind rolls along on Good Friday. It's almost time for me to hit the road, but first a quick solo shot is on the docket with the MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-7-2023. I'll…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-5-2023

I guess playing the bullpen volatility game was the move after all. Lack of execution squandered a shot at sneaking away with the D-backs first 5 innings team total. That was extra frustrating since Darvish was expectedly ripe for the picking. In a Groundhog Day scenario I would bet the…

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Handicapping the 2023 Opening Day Slate

We made it through the offseason. We made it through six grueling Divisional Previews. Now it's showtime. Shameless plug: visit our MLB page to check out the six preview articles and futures positions. March 30th is in sight and we have your 2023 Opening Day handicapping covered with a quick…

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2023 NL Central Preview & Futures

The second half of the 2022 MLB season featured a pair of noteworthy NL Central battles. Most importantly was the tug of war for last place between my Cincinnati Reds and their dance partner Pittsburgh Pirates (that's sarcasm, folks). In a fitting conclusion they both held down the cellar with…

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Interrupted by Futures!

Just like that, two domestic books drop their season win totals out of the blue. Days away from the NFL Playoffs kickoff and our mid-January projections get put to the test. Caesars Sportsbook and BetRivers (Kambi) posted eight totals in common this week and the other 22 varied anywhere from…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 8-6-2022

Sometimes the best laid plans get crushed by reality. As for Triston McKenzie's curveball Tuesday night, Arizona watched it miss the strike zone time and time again, pouncing on the inevitable fastball. An ugly swing-and-miss on my part. But the MLB Morning Breakdown for 8-6-2022 rolls on with a pair…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-30-2022

Here I am on the fence once again. Gotta admit that I like writing about the tricky handicaps more than the ones that carry higher conviction though. Thursday's edition highlighted an unsung starting pitcher against one of the more prolific lineups in the league. Now the MLB Morning Breakdown for…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-18-2022

JJ@BC The MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-18-2022 drops with a pair of handicaps on this windy Saturday morning. Despite staying ahead of the market since my last post on June 14th, I gave some back to the gambling gods this week after returning from vacation (holy LOB, Boston!). Not to…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-9-2022

Getting walked off by the Yankees yesterday afternoon wasn't the best follow up to a decent Opening Day for our featured handicaps. Is it time to start firing on -200 favorites until I'm blue in the face? Not a chance! The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-9-2022 rolls in with cash…

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2022 NL Central Futures Preview

Milwaukee's success, paired with divisional foes who struggled to keep pace down the stretch, resulted in the NL Central's third different champion in as many years. St. Louis's sluggish start made it that much more difficult for the Cardinals to chase down the Brewers, though they certainly made a valiant…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-23-2021

At least some folks know how to bet my handicaps properly. It was good to hear that a number of our crew laid the hook with Houston on the first 5 inning side as opposed to me laying the -1. While I pushed, folks like my BetCrushers partner Yanni, D-Nice…

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2021 NL Central Preview & Futures

It's a story that only made sense in the year 2020. While the Cardinals were stuck at home due to COVID-related issues, the Chicago Cubs grew an early lead in the NL Central. They slogged their way to the division title as St. Louis, Cincinnati, and Milwaukee finished no better…

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2020 MLB Season Win Totals: NL Central

Last year's NL Central crown race was one of the tightest in the league. My eyes, as a holder of a late-season plus-money divisional futures ticket on the Cardinals, were glued to Milwaukee's September charge. The Brew Crew made things way too interesting for my taste, even without 2018 NL…

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Ill Communication – 6/6/2019

The Twins offense vs. Carlos Carrasco matchup was a big draw for a +118 underdog bet on Minnesota before Carrasco was scratched due to unfortunate medical concerns. When the game came back with Tyler Clippard as the Indians starter, the line flipped to Twins -120. After adjusting for the pitching…

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Chop It Up – MLB 4/25/2019

After the "gut punch" Monday that saw a Pittsburgh collapse and an Angels letdown in 14, the past couple days have each been 2-2 chops. The major benefit of playing plus-money wagers is that these chop days still add a few bucks to the accounts. Nothing major to speak of,…

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Keeping Pace – MLB 4/22/2019

Easter Sunday's 1-4 result was disappointing to say the least. The extra-innings loss by the Rays was the difference-maker in regard to maintaining a solid bounce back week. Unfortunately, the day's results made the week a slight loss of 0.45 units and the season just shy of -6 units. Before…

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All Clear – MLB 4/21/2019

After a couple days of wet weather at several ballparks, it looks like Mother Nature is going to let the boys play ball on Easter Sunday. Yesterday's 4 wagers were chopped 2-2 but a bit of aggressiveness payed off with the Reds play, yielding 0.76 units on the day. Pending…

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Fade the Fade – MLB 4/19/2019

Yesterday, my guys on the BetCrushers team said they don't subscribe to the "this game's a lock" mentality but that we would all be disappointed if the 2 tickets didn't cash. Well, they didn't cash. So consider me very disappointed. An 0-2 night shaved 2.1 units off the bankroll and…

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Big Saturday – MLB 4/13/2019

Yesterday's 5 plays started with a dud and ended on the west coast with 3 very disappointing outcomes. The 1-4 result cost -2.65 units and was the most costly day of the young season. In fact, this week has been a gut punch on the run line, shedding 8.1 units…

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A Case of the Mondays – MLB 4/1/2019

The first weekend of baseball yielded 10 betting opportunities; 5 on Saturday, 5 on Sunday. Despite a massive breach of my MLB wagering principles with the Yankees -185 run line, good hits on 4 other RLs squeezed out a +1.03 unit profit over those 10 games. Most importantly, there was…

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