Previous Week Plays – 1-1
Season Record – 6-3
Week 3 Recap:
For the second week in a row we entered the primetime game looking to be perfect for the weekend, and fell short. Of course this week we only had two plays, so it’s not like it would have been super impressive. Still, 2-0 would have been a lot nicer than 1-1, which basically means we gave away some juice in week three, moving our yearly record to 6-3. We remained perfect for the year on teasers, as our Thursday/Sunday combo of Carolina and Arizona cashed with mostly relative ease. Truthfully, there was a few minutes of sweat with the Cardinals after the Jaguars ran an attempted 68 yard field goal back for a touchdown before the half, capturing the lead. Ultimately, the Jaguars collapsed as planned holding the teaser intact. A slow start for the San Francisco 49ers really doomed our chances in the excited Sunday Night Football contest against the Packers. The Niners had a chance with the game winding down, but a fumble by Jimmy G ended any shot of stealing that cover against the spread.
Week 4 Picks:
One of our heavier slates of a weekend with a total of 6 plays, that are all pretty interesting for a variety of reasons. Week number four offers so many different betting options, particularly with teasers, as you could make the argument that up to 7 teams could be teased down or up. We limited our teasers to two, the second of which is one of the most popular teasers that we’ve seen in recent years. We’re also doubled up in that game as we are also playing it against the spread, something that an astonishing 98% of the public is on as well. If you believe in fading the public, this probably isn’t the weekend to be tailing the BetCrushers. One thing is for certain with the Sunday Night Football game, the hype of Tom Brady returning to New England is going to spell a record night for the sportsbooks, or a record bloodbath. Hopefully you follow us on Twitter and saw our bet placed Monday to get the best line possible for this game. In closing, we’ve got 2 games ATS, one first half ATS, one total, and the previously mentioned two teasers. Best of luck to everyone in what promises to be a very exciting sports betting NFL weekend.
Cleveland Browns vs. Minnesota Vikings
vs. 
Cleveland Browns (2-1) vs. Minnesota Vikings (1-2)
Sunday October 3rd
1:00pm
CBS
U.S. Bank Stadium – Minneapolis, MN
Cleveland Browns -2 (-110)
Over/Under 51 (-115)
Two years ago the thought of Baker Mayfield dueling with Kirk Cousins wouldn’t have seemed all that interesting. Heading into week four of 2021, this is actually a battle of two of the top quarterbacks playing in the league right now. The Browns enter the contest sitting at 2-1, while the Vikings are 1-2, and both teams could realistically have a 3-0 mark. For the first time this season, we watched both of these teams defense put on a strong performance in week three, which begs the question, can they repeat that?
The Cleveland Browns are operating their offense exactly as you’d draw it up if you have any knowledge of football at all. Their utilizing their strong offensive line to run their football with their two powerful running backs, and the quarterback is taking what the defenses are giving him in the passing game. This plan will once again be employed against the Minnesota Vikings, a team whose defense struggled the first two weeks of the season, before getting things going a bit in week three against the Seahawks. Cleveland’s offensive line is a little banged up, but should be mostly intact, against an also banged up Minnesota defense, including veteran linebackers Erick Kendricks and Anthony Barr. While the battle in the trenches will be huge as it always is for Cleveland, its the wide receiver position that really is of note this Sunday. The Vikings have struggled at corner, particularly former All-Pro Patrick Peterson, which means Baker Mayfield is going to need to find matchup wins with his receivers. The fast track should help Odell Beckham, Jr. who returned in limited fashion last week and got in some good live action. As always, the Browns tight ends should factor into the offense, and could have success if the Vikings linebackers are limited. Circling back to the battle in the trenches, Cleveland has a big advantage with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt against this Vikings front. Minnesota is surrendering over 4.8 yards per carry to opposing runners, which is not ideal when playing two power backs that also have speed like Chubb and Hunt. With the running game likely to be effective, that should really loosen things up again for Mayfield in the hostile road environment.
Don’t look now, the Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins is playing some top tier football through three weeks. Cousins is leading the league in passing from a “clean” pocket, and has been pretty darn good even when he has been under pressure. Having a strong running game and great wide receivers certainly helps that, and is something the Vikings absolutely have. The Browns defense came to life last week against a porous Chicago Bears offense, however they’ll have a much tougher task in this game. The Vikings got some good news as it looks like Dalvin Cook should be good to go this weekend, propelling the running game in a fashion that only Derrick Henry does better in the league. It won’t be easy against an improving Cleveland defense, but Cook knows how to find space or create it when it’s not there. The obvious matchup to watch in this game will be Vikings left tackle Rashod Hill, who has the unenviable task of trying to contain the Browns Myles Garrett. That’s the same Garrett who accumulated 4.5 sacks last week, and surely made Bears left tackle Jason Peters wish he had stayed retired. The secondary for Cleveland doesn’t have quite the advantage as they’ll be without starting cornerback Greg Newsome. Although the Browns have some depth with Greedy Williams and Troy Hill on the roster, look for Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen to be able to win their matchups on the outside.
Key Stats and Trends
– The total has gone over in 4 of the Browns last 6 games
– The total has gone over in 5 of the Vikings last 6 games
– The total has gone over in 8 of the last 10 Vikings home games
Maybe it’s because both of these teams turned in really solid defensive performances a weekend ago, or maybe it’s a lack of respect for Kirk Cousins and Baker Mayfield, but why is this total only at 51? At a time in the league when offensive teams have totals in the mid 50’s routinely, teams with firepower like these shouldn’t be sitting at a total of 51. We’re expecting a lot of offense in this game with Kirk Cousins playing well at home, and the Browns running the football well. Both teams could potentially get to 30 points depending on the flow of the game, so we’ll take our chances with a rare over total.
BetCrushers Take: Over Total 51
Browns 28, Vikings 26
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
vs. 
Seattle Seahawks (1-2) vs. San Francisco 49ers (2-1)
Sunday October 3rd
4:05pm
FOX
Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, CA
San Francisco 49ers -3 (-120)
Over/Under 52 (-110)
The NFC West is the best division in football, and currently the 49ers and Seahawks are looking up at the Rams and Cardinals. Despite the early hole they find themselves in, these are two good football teams who will legitimately be fighting for a playoff spot all season. When we look back at the end of the year, it won’t be a surprise if we see the teams in the NFC West that are able to hold serve as the ones making the playoffs, while the losers within the division are on the outside looking in.
The Seattle Seahawks can be a frustrating team to watch or wager on or against. At times they look like the best team in the league, and at other stretches, they almost look like they don’t belong on the field with their opponent. After two straight losses, Russell Wilson and the Hawks’ find themselves in an important early season game that they really need to win if they want to try to keep pace in the crowded NFC West. The good news for Wilson is he’s facing a team he’s played very well against during his career, including on the road. Perhaps the even better news is that 49ers will be very thin again in their secondary, something that hurt them against the Packers. If you’re San Francisco, you don’t want to be thin on the back end when you’re facing a team with a pair of wideouts like D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. The latter appears to be ok after a scary injury a week ago, and should be good to go on Sunday. Another troubling spot for the Niners’ is their run defense, which has been average at best, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Chris Carson got things going last week, and he should find some room against a San Francisco defense that misses DeForest Buckner in the middle. Linemen Kerry Hyder and Javon Kinlaw are both question marks for this Sunday, which could make the line rotation even slimmer. The Niners’ will of course have their pass rushers available, led by Nick Bosa, so keep an eye on Duane Brown and how well he can hold up at left tackle. As he’s gotten older, Russell Wilson has used his legs less as a weapon, however this is a game where he can and should have success running if he chooses.
The offensive line of the 49ers did not play it’s finest game collectively against the Green Bay Packers last weekend. They should rebound a bit here as they’ll take on a Seahawks defensive line that has not played great as a unit. Bobby Wagner is still playing at his elite level in the middle, but his support around him has fallen off. The 49ers will look to take advantage of that, both by running the football and short passes over the middle. Their motion schemes could provide some challenges for a front seven that hasn’t played together much and is still learning the defense. San Francisco hopes to get Elijah Mitchell back at running back after missing last week, and will platoon him with Trey Sermon in an effort to get the ground game going. How well they can run the football will have a huge impact on the final outcome of this game. Seattle should be able to matchup with the 49ers receivers, and according to Pete Carroll the secondary needs to play better. The Seahawks must find a pass rush to expose Jimmy Garoppolo, as we witnessed how he is prone to mistakes when under pressure. On paper, that might be hard for the Seahawks to do, although the same could have been said for the Packers and they made it happen. This is a spot where safety Jamal Adams really needs to earn his money.
Key Stats and Trends
– The Seahawks are 6-1 straight up in their last 7 games against the 49ers on the road
– Russell Wilson is 13-4 ATS versus the 49ers in his career
– The 49ers are 0-5 straight up in their last 5 home games
Divisional games like these are generally close contests that often come down to the wire. We’re expecting that to be the case here, and we’re using the track record of Pete Carroll and Russell Wilson as a basis for our wager. We’re sprinkling a few bucks on the moneyline with Seattle as the Seahawks should win this game outright. Because we are getting the key number of 3 points, that’s our official bet and what we feel very comfortable with. Here’s to hoping Russell Wilson can avoid a third straight loss and get us to the pay window.
BetCrushers Take: Seattle Seahawks +3
Seahawks 27, 49ers 24
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers
vs. 
Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) vs. Green Bay Packers (2-1)
Sunday October 3rd
4:25pm
CBS
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, WI
Green Bay Packers -7 (-105)
Over/Under 45.5 (-110)
The NFL has always been a “what have you done for me lately league”, and my how things can change in the blink of an eye. After week one, the Pittsburgh Steelers were flying high off of a road win in Buffalo, and the Packers were blasted around the country as a lame duck team with a washed up quarterback. Fast forward to this weekend, and everyone who follows the sport is stating that Ben Roethlisberger can no longer play at this level, while Aaron Rodgers looked great, fresh off of their road victory in San Francisco. The truth probably is somewhere in the middle for both, as two of the league’s most beloved franchises square off at Lambeau Field.
There was a lot of skepticism regarding the Steelers offensive line heading into the season, and the Steelers organization was confident they had the right pieces in place to block in both the running and passing game. Through three weeks, that hasn’t really held up as rookie Najee Harris is not finding much room to run, and Ben Roethlisberger has been under pretty heavy durress. Even though the line will have a road game in a noisy Lambeau Field, they get the Packers without their difference-making top rusher, Z’Darius Smith. We often hear about strength versus strength in sports matchups, but in the trenches here, it’s almost weakness versus weakness. Which team will find an advantage and be able to elevate their team when Pittsburgh has the football? If the answer isn’t Pittsburgh, it’ll be another long day for the black and yellow. The Steelers wide receivers are banged up, and facing a tough matchup against the Green Bay secondary, which means somehow Pittsburgh is going to have to run the football. All of this and we haven’t even discussed the fact that Ben Roethlisberger has looked really bad the last two weeks. Not just bad as in some bad throws or decisions, but bad as in physically it’s fair to ask if he is still able to play this game? Throwing against the Green Bay secondary is not necessarily a great “get right” spot for Big Ben.
The demise of Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers was apparently a little premature. Rodgers returns home to cozy Lambeau Field to take on a potentially not so cozy defense of the Pittsburgh Steelers. The injury report in this game could be huge as the availability of Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt has an enormous impact on what the team can do defensively. Without Watt in week three, the team was unable to generate any sacks or pressure and gave up some big plays in the passing game. Rodgers has historically been great against pressure anyhow, yet this season he’s had some struggles against the blitz. The Packers offensive line was up to the challenge against the 49ers, and will have another tough assignment with a somewhat desperate Steeler defense. Look for the Pack to work Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon into the mix early in an effort to set up play-action to get the safeties away from Davante Adams. Adams proved again why he’s in the conversation for top receiver in the league, and should have winnable matchups against the Steelers corners. At some point, another receiver on the Packers is going to need to step up, and this could be the week for that to happen as Adams will be getting a lot of attention, as usual.
Key Stats and Trends
– The Steelers are averaging 4.7 points in the first half of games in the 2021 season
– The Steelers are 1-4 straight up in their last 5 games
– The Packers are 15-2 straight up in their last 17 games at Lambeau Field
Despite how awful Ben Roethlisberger has looked, this feels like it is going to end up being a close football game. Of course that also depends on the status of T.J. Watt and some of the other starters on the Pittsburgh roster. Although it might be a close game, we really like the first half angle for the Green Bay Packers. If you’ve followed GB the last couple of seasons, they tend to get off to fast starts in games, and sometimes take the foot off the pedal in second halves. We’re expecting another fast start for Rodgers, and maybe more impactfully, a slow start for the Steelers. Pittsburgh has only scored 13 points in the first half of their games so far this season. We’re locking in the Green Bay Packers first half against the spread -4. #GoPackGo.
BetCrushers Take: Green Bay Packers First Half -4
Packers 24, Steelers 20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New England Patriots
vs. 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) vs. New England Patriots (1-2)
Sunday October 3rd
8:20pm
NBC
Gillette Stadium – Foxboro, MA
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6 (-110)
Over/Under 49 (-110)
The league wasted very little time when the schedules were released in hyping up Tom Brady’s return to Foxboro to take on his former head coach Bill Belichick. NBC has to be licking their chops at the potential ratings and viewership for this game as the storyline is basically one of a real life soap opera. The Buccaneers are looking to rebound after a very rough outing against their division rival Rams, while the Patriots are searching for answers after their own stumbles against the Saints. Can this game live up to the billing between the G.O.A.T. coach and G.O.A.T. quarterback? And more importantly, who will come out on top in a game that has Brady’s team favored by a touchdown?
If you’re a sports bettor you don’t really care about the storyline, your concern is numbers and matchups. The New England defense is a formidable squad that has played well so far this season. We’re guessing despite the familiarity with Tom Brady, they’re not going to be prepared for the train that’s going to be coming at them on Sunday night. Part of Brady’s remarkable resume, is that he’s perhaps the most focused quarterback we’ve ever witnessed. And although he’ll probably receive a warm greeting from the Patriot fanbase, he’ll definitely want to show the world that he’s still the top dog. With Stephon Gilmore still not on the field, he should be able to find the matchups he likes in the secondary if he gets pass protection. The Patriots can manufacture a pass rush with their linebackers, but their front four alone won’t be able to get to Brady. If New England is forced to bring extra men, Brady should quick pass his way down the field with his backs and tight ends. The Bucs’ get a boost at wide receiver as Antonio Brown will return off of the COVID-19 list and should be a matchup problem for a Jonathan Jones, or a third corner for New England. Speaking of working the tight ends, Rob Gronkowski is also making his return, and having been a touchdown machine in the first couple of weeks, don’t be shocked if he gets some red zone looks as well.
On offense the New England Patriots really tried to set their team up the right way, with quality offensive line play. Overall, their line has played fairly well, especially in the run game. It’s always a challenge to run on Vita Vea and the Tampa Bay defense, so this offensive line is going to have to be on their game. Realistically, for New England to pull off this upset, they’re going to have to be able to throw the football, something they’ve struggled with behind their rookie quarterback Mac Jones. The young signal caller does get a break in the fact that the Tampa secondary has been hit with injuries and has looked really bad this season. However, unlike the Rams a week ago, who for the Patriots is going to challenge this group? Jakobi Myers, Nelson Agholor and Kendrick Bourne are not Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods and Desean Jackson. The Pats’ will need to lean on their two free agent tight ends, Hunter Henry and Johnnu Smith as they give the team the best matchup advantages against the attacking style of defense TB likes to play. They’ll also need to be a bigger factor in the passing game as the Patriots lost their pass catching specialist James White at the running back position for the season. Quarterback Mac Jones is used to the bright lights coming from Alabama, but things are a little different when your team isn’t the one with the vastly superior talent.
Key Stats and Trends
– The Buccaneers are averaging 33 points per game in the 2021 season
– The Patriots are averaging 18 points per game in 2021 season
Hopefully you follow the BetCrushers on Twitter as we posted early Monday to grab this line at -5.5 as it’ll continue climbing. This game is a complete mismatch in almost across the board. This is a pivotal game for the sportsbooks, as an almost unbelievable 98% of bets and money are coming in on the Buccaneers. Will the public feast here, or will it be a bloodbath? A number like that understandably scares the heck out of us, but we have to stick with our formula. This has to be a double digit win for the Buccaneers and Tom Brady.
BetCrushers Take: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 (Good up to 7)
Buccaneers 30, Patriots 20
Teaser Bet
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints
vs. 
and 
vs. 
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (2-1)
Thursday September 30th
8:20pm
NFL Network
Paul Brown Stadium – Cincinnati, OH
Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under 46 (-110)
New York Giants (0-3) vs. New Orleans Saints (2-1)
Sunday October 3rd
1:00pm
FOX
Caesar’s Superdome – New Orleans, LA
New Orleans Saints -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under 42 (-110)
TEASER MOVES SPREADS TO: Bengals -1.5 and Saints -1.5
Don’t look now but the Cincinnati Bengals are playing a primetime football game and are favored by over a touchdown. Our first bet gets started on Thursday Night Football as we have some action on those Bengals as they face off with the 0-3 Jacksonville Jaguars. The game might not look great at first glance, however a battle of last year’s top pick Joe Burrow, and this year’s top selection Trevor Lawrence is enough to peak our interest. Our second portion of the teaser features one NFC team looking to keep pace in their division with the New Orleans Saints, and the other team just searching for their first win of the season, in the New York Giants. Both home favorites are hovering around a touchdown favorite, and line up analytically, and in game matchup for a strong teaser play.
You have to feel a bit for Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence as he finds himself in the midst of an organization that doesn’t really seem to have a clear future. Lawrence could take some more lumps in his first primetime game as he plays on the road against a somewhat surprisingly decent Cincinnati Bengals team. The Bengals have been good with their run defense, and Trey Hendrickson picked up where he left off a season ago getting after opposing QBs. Look for Hendrickson and the Bengals defensive line to really amp up the pressure against Lawrence in an effort to force him into those rookie mistakes. The Jags were actually beating Arizona a week ago before Lawrence made back to back bad plays, essentially giving the game back to the Cardinals. Jacksonville really needs to lean on second year running back James Robinson here to slow down that pass rush of the Bengals and to try to establish some dominance in the game. Robinson is an underrated player, but he might struggle a bit in this game. The one area that the Jaguars have as a bright spot on the offense is the wide receiver position as the trio of D.J. Chark, Marvin Jones and Laviska Shenault are a fairly talented group. Lawrence has seemed to develop some chemistry with Jones, however it hasn’t been there just yet with Chark and Shenault. The Bengals secondary has played well, but they’ll be without their two leaders in Jessie Bates III, and free agent Chidobe Awuzie. The Jaguars will need to exploit this if they want to pull of the road upset and earn their first win of the season. On the other side of the ball, the Bengals will also be missing wide receiver Tee Higgins. Fortunately for quarterback Joe Burrow he can still lean on Tyler Boyd and rookie sensation Ja’marr Chase in the passing game. Perhaps more importantly, Joe Mixon is back this season and running hard. Mixon should pace the Bengals offense, and Burrow can take his shots against the Jaguars defense that has been susceptible to giving up big plays.
In the second game, we flip to the NFC where the New York Giants take their show on the road also searching for their first win. Daniel Jones has been up and down this season, and has a tough matchup here in the noisy Superdome against a tough defense that forced three turnovers a week ago against Mac Jones. Jones is also dealing with a banged up receiving corp and while it looks like he’ll have at least two of his receivers, Sterling Shepherd is still a bit of a question mark. The best news for Giants fans is probably that Saquon Barkley finally showed signs last week of being the impact player he was as a rookie. The unfortunate side to that is, this week he goes against the stingy Saints defense that is surrendering only 2.7 yards per carry to running backs. If Barkley is bottled up, that’s going to put a lot of pressure on Jones to make plays, which could spell trouble against Marshon Lattimore and the Saints secondary. For New Orleans, the offense has also been a little up and down as you might expect with Jameis Winston at quarterback. Unlike N.O., the Giants have not been great at slowing down the run, and with middle linebacker Blake Martinez gone for the year, Alvin Kamara could be in line for a heavy workload of carries on Sunday. The Giants defense has some talent, and hasn’t played badly this year, it’s just a lot to ask of them to constantly try to hold teams down around the 14 point mark. Even against a New Orleans team that’s still working with some journeyman receivers, can the Giants hold up if their offense isn’t sustaining drives?
Key Stats and Trends
– The Jaguars are 0-10 straight up in their last 10 road games
– The Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games
– The Giants are 1-6 straight up in their last 7 games
– The Saints are 14-4 straight up in their last 18 games
Let’s make this real simple. Two home teams, two solid defenses against turnover prone quarterbacks, and getting through the key number of three. The numbers say to tease this all day long, and the matchups don’t really argue with it either. Sure it can be a little dicey teasing teams that aren’t necessarily “great”, but the better teams playing at home, simply needing to win… We’ll always take our chances there.
BetCrushers Take: Tease Bengals -1.5 and Saints -1.5
Bengals 26, Jaguars 20 / Saints 24, Giants 17
Teaser Bet
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New England Patriots
vs. 
and 
vs. 
Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (1-2)
Sunday October 3rd
1:00pm
CBS
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, PA
Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 (-120)
Over/Under 54.5 (-110)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) vs. New England Patriots (1-2)
Sunday October 3rd
8:20pm
NBC
Gillette Stadium – Foxboro, MA
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7 (-110)
Over/Under 49 (-110)
TEASER MOVES SPREADS TO: Chiefs -.5 and Buccaneers -1
Everyone in America seemingly has this teaser locked in, and it’s not so much FOMO (fear of missing out), that has us on it, but more early looking ahead. The BetCrushers actually booked these as look ahead lines on Saturday, but for the sake of this article are posting the more current numbers if you’d like to tail. Logic would tell us that one of these teams is going to bust a lot of parlays/teasers, however we’re holding firm with our breakdown. The Chiefs are in need of a rebound win against an Eagles team that is also licking its wounds from their Monday Night Football showing. The Buccaneers have to ignore the Tom Brady versus Bill Belichick hype and focus on improving their defense and getting a road victory.
You already saw our breakdown of the Sunday Night Football game, so we’ll just take a quick look at the Chiefs and Eagles afternoon contest. Despite the disappointing start for the Chiefs, the offense looks just fine, as their line has played better and they’ve even run the ball pretty well. The Eagles struggled against a Dallas offense that is very similar last week, and Andy Reid (fresh out of the hospital), needs to stay committed to the running game with Clyde Edwards-Helaire. CEH has had his troubles hanging on to the football, but he’s looked good running between the tackles. If the Eagles are going to play two deep safeties as they did against Dallas, the Chiefs have to stay patient and take the 6 yard runs. They’ll have plenty of opportunities to throw the football down the field against an Eagles secondary that doesn’t have the talent to matchup with Kansas City, outside of cornerback Darius Slay. This is a game where Travis Kelce could really wreak havoc down the seams, and we’ll likely see some big plays from Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman. For the Eagles, the team is a little banged up on the offensive line, which should help a Chiefs defensive line that has not been great through three weeks. After an embarrassing gameplan that saw Miles Sanders rush only two times on Monday night, expect to see a correction, and for Sanders a good game. The Eagles need this to keep Mahomes and company off the field to shorten the game. The best thing the Eagles have working for them is Jalen Hurts ability to run outside of the pocket. The Chiefs struggled to contain Lamar Jackson, and Hurts could attack them in a similar fashion. Ultimately though, the way to beat the Chiefs to outscore them, so the speedy wideouts for the Eagles are going to need to make some big plays.
Key Stats and Trends
– The Chiefs are 13-4 straight up in their last 17 games
– The Chiefs are 7-1 straight up in their last 8 games vs an NFC opponent
– The Eagles are 1-5 straight up in their last 6 games
– The Eagles are 2-9 straight up in their last 11 games as an underdog
Much like our synopsis of the Bucs/Pats game, everyone in America is seemingly in on this teaser, which is not a great thing for us. However, just as in that game, we’re going to stick with it. We have arguably the top two quarterbacks in the game coming off of losses, playing lesser opponents. Yes, we’re going against our own rule of teasing road teams, but we’ll go out on a limb here with the Mahomes and Brady versus Hurts and Jones and see how it plays out. Hopefully the sportsbooks give a little profit back to the public in week four.
