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NFL Week 17 Plays

Previous Week Plays – 2-2
Season Record – 40-39-1

Week 16 Recap:

Back-to-back juice chopping weekends at .500 as we split our four wagers to go 2 and 2 in the win and loss column. We had a win snatched away in our first game which was the Bills team total of 27.5 over. The Bills scored a go ahead touchdown that would have given them a chance to go over the mark with a minute left in their game. However, after review, the officials determined Khalil Shakir’s kneed was down before he got up, and the Bills milked the clock to a game ending field goal, leaving them at 24 points. Sunday afternoon was successful as we had an easy first half cover of the Packers team total over 20.5 points, and our our play against the spread with the Buccaneers was never in doubt as they demolished the Jaguars. Our other loss was on Christmas afternoon as we backed what we thought would be a Chiefs offense that would get things going against the Raiders. After five straight games over 28 points against the team from Vegas, the Chiefs were unable to get any offense going and lose a critical game in the AFC West. Still some time left in the season to secure some profit with our plays, but disappointing again to say the least.

Week 17 Picks:

Week 17 offers one of our larger cards in the past few weeks as we’ve got plays on Thursday, Saturday and Sunday. After a going thin the last two weeks we’ve got 7 wagers punched this week. Included in that is a team we’re backing ATS on TNF we’re also utilizing as a teaser leg. We’ve got a double-dip on the San Francisco 49ers again, as well as a couple of other NFC team totals. Round it out with a team we generally are critical of winning against the spread and that’s our card for the weekend. Happy New Year! Make 2024 the best year of your life!

New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns

vs.
New York Jets (6-9) vs. Cleveland Browns (10-5)
Thursday December 28th
8:15pm
Cleveland Browns Stadium – Cleveland, OH
Cleveland Browns -7 (-110)
Over/Under 34 (-110)

Breece Hall and the Jets offense could have trouble against Myles Garrett and the Browns

The final Thursday Night Football game of the season takes place off of Lake Erie as the Cleveland Browns are looking for yet another win under quarterback Joe Flacco. Standing in their way is a New York Jets team that nearly blew a huge lead a week ago, before regaining their composure and coming away with a victory of their own. Points could be tough to come by as these teams are carried by their physical defenses.

With Zach Wilson officially ruled out Trevor Siemian will get his second straight start for Gang Green in the Dawg Pound. It will be a daunting task as the Browns defense has been absolutely dominant in every home game this season. Truth be told, it’s hard to figure out just how or where the Jets will be able to attack the Cleveland defense? Their offensive line, which is actually about as healthy as it’s been in a while, is still no match for the defensive line of the Browns. When the Jets have been at their best, they’ve run the ball with Breece Hall successfully. The problem is, they’ve only been able to do that a few times this season, and only against very soft run defenses. The Browns run defense is good, and certainly stout enough to contain Hall against an offensive line they should push around pretty easily. Without the threat of the run, Trevor Siemian will need to move the chains through the air. That is hard to do against this top ranked defense with a good quarterback and receivers. With career backup Siemian, and really only one legitimate target on the outside, the Browns will clamp down making a long night for the offense of the Jets. There could be a lot of punts, and honestly that may not be the worst thing for New York.

Things won’t necessarily be easy for the Browns when they have the ball either, as the Jets continue to play hard on the defensive side of the ball. The Browns have adjusted well to losing their top three tackles for the season, although it has clearly impacted their ability to run the football. Of course not having Nick Chubb is the bigger reason they haven’t been able to run the football. Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt have an important job as the better way to attack the Jets defense by running the football. It should be a battle of best versus best with the interior of the Browns offensive line attacking Quinnen Williams, C.J. Mosley and Quincy Williams. The really fun part of this game will be watching how Joe Flacco fairs against a very good Jets pass defense. Flacco has been on an absolute tear since joining the Browns, throwing for more yards in each of his starts to this point. That won’t continue against New York as Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed will do a better job of keeping the banged up Amari Cooper to a manageable number, just one week after he set a Browns franchise record. One area Flacco definitely needs to improve is in taking care of the football. He’s slung it around effectively, but he has turned it over more than he can if the team wants to go anywhere in the playoffs. Thursday night is a perfect example, as the only way the Browns lose this game against an inferior opponent is by giving them short fields and easy points.

Key Stats and Trends
– The Jets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games
– The
Jets are 2-9 straight up in their last 11 road games
– The
Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games
– The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games

Our thought process for this game is pretty simple. The Jets can’t win, or cover, if they can’t score. And quite frankly we don’t believe on the road in Cleveland they’re going to be able to score behind Trevor Siemian. The Browns may not light up the scoreboard, but Flacco is giving them enough that they should be able to at least get into the 20’s. It’s debatable whether or not the Jets can get into the teens. Throw in the fact the Browns are playing for playoff positioning and who knows if the Jets even want to be there and it’s enough for us to side with the Browns against the spread.

BetCrushers Take: Cleveland Browns -7
Browns 27, Jets 10

Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys

vs.
Detroit Lions (11-4) vs. Dallas Cowboys (10-5)
Saturday December 30th
8:15pm
AT&T Stadium – Arlington, TX
Dallas Cowboys -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under 51.5 (-110)

Can Dak Prescott and the Cowboys get back on track returning home to face the Lions?

Playoff seeding is at stake in the NFC when the Dallas Cowboys play host to the NFC North champion Detroit Lions on Saturday. The Cowboys are in the midst of a two-game losing streak and are hopeful a return to the cozy confines of AT&T Stadium will provide the boost they need to avoid a third straight loss. These teams could end up facing each other again in the playoffs, so this could end up being a preview game.

The Lions offense continues to roll and faces one of their bigger tests of the season against an angry Cowboys defense in Dallas. The key words in that sentence are “in Dallas”, where the Boys have been tough on opposing offenses. Quarterbacks have been under heavy durress against the Cowboys pass rush, however that may not be the case for Jared Goff. For starters, his offensive line continues to be strong and the tackles match up about as well as any team’s in terms of slowing down Demarcus Lawrence and Micah Parsons. More importantly for the Lions is their ability to neutralize that pass rush by running the football. The Cowboys are not great stopping the run, and have had even more trouble since the injury to Jonathan Hankins on the interior of their line. David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs have been as potent of a one-two punch as any combination in the league and both should have success running downhill. As long as this happens, it should afford Jared Goff enough time to find his receivers and keep the sticks moving. We’ll talk about CeeDee Lamb in a minute, but we have to point out just how well Amon-Ra St. Brown has played this season. Ben Johnson will probably move St. Brown into the slot even more than usual to give him a favorable man coverage matchup. Stephon Gilmore generally does not travel into the slot, which means St. Brown won’t face the still high-performing star for much of the game. Detroit should do fine moving the ball, Goff and company mainly need to take care of it to make sure they stay in the contest.

The Cowboys offense has stalled out during their losing streak as they had issues scoring against ACF East heavyweights Buffalo and Miami. As mentioned above, a trip home should cure what ails them, as they have been unstoppable playing in front of their home fans. Dak Prescott has to be licking his chops at the prospect of facing the Lions secondary. The Lions have become very stout stopping the run, but Dallas has shown they are comfortable passing up the ground game if they can have success throwing. Tony Pollard is likely to be quiet as a runner, however he may get some work in the passing game. Spoiler, we’ll be looking to play some Pollard under props on his rushing yardage. Despite what will probably be an unsuccessful rushing attack, Dallas won’t have too much trouble moving the football. The Lions have had trouble stopping fast receivers, and covering opposing tight ends. Jake Ferguson could be a busy man, and Brandin Cooks should continue his recent strong play. Where Dallas should explode is with WR CeeDee Lamb, who has been mostly uncoverable all season. Against this Lions secondary, Lamb should feast, and if the Lions are insistent on trying to take away Lamb, one of their other receivers will be on the verge of a big game. One position to watch is left tackle, where it looks as though Tyron Smith may miss another contest. He was sorely missed in their loss to the Dolphins, and although you can’t diminish the loss of a Pro Bowl left tackle, it shouldn’t be as big of a problem against the Lions. Aidan Hutchinson mainly rushes from the left edge, which means Prescott’s blind side should be ok, even if Smith can’t go. All of this analysis comes back to quarterback Dak Prescott. If Prescott wants to be elite, this is the type of game where he has to carry his team to a victory.

Key Stats and Trends
– The Lions are 0-5 straight up in their last 5 games vs. the Cowboys
– The
total has gone over in 6 of the last 7 games for the Lions
– The
total has gone over in 5 of the last 6 road games for the Lions
– The Cowboys are 15-0 straight up in their last 15 home games
– The total has gone over in 8 of the last 10 games between the Lions and Cowboys

This has the potential to be a really fun football game as trends would show you the Lions have scored in bunches indoors, and the Cowboys have been unstoppable at home. Let’s see how Dallas responds facing some adversity and pressure in a game they really need to win. The Lions ability to stop the run may feed right into the hands of the Cowboys as they’ll be forced to throw it. CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson are names you should get familiar with hearing in the broadcast for this one. The reason we don’t want to lay the points with Dallas is because the Lions may be able to run it right down their throat and keep this game close. It’s not impossible they’d win outright honestly. Regardless of how the Lions do, the Cowboys should put up a lot of points and Dak should have a lot of success. Give us the team total for the Cowboys and let’s see if they’re still a contender in the NFC, or if they fall into the tier of pretender.

BetCrushers Take: Dallas Cowboys – Team Total Over 29.5
Cowboys 33, Lions 29

Arizona Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Eagles

vs.
Arizona Cardinals (3-12) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (11-4)
Sunday December 31st
1:00pm
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, PA
Philadelphia Eagles -11.5 (-110)
Over/Under 48 (-110)

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles host Kyler Murray and the Cardinals

The Eagles and Cardinals have opposite records in the win and loss columns, however this game could be closer than many believe it will be. The Eagles opened as heavy favorites and still sit as eleven point favorites as the sportsbooks clearly believe the Cardinals are either not on the same level or may not put forth the effort needed to compete. The Eagles have been playing up and down to their competition though, so before you write off this game as an Eagles win, make sure to do your homework.

The good news for the Arizona Cardinals offense is they have been quite a bit better since the return of Kyler Murray at quarterback. The bad news is, that hasn’t been enough for them to overcome some of the other deficiencies on the team to put together wins. The bright spot throughout the season has been their offensive line performing better than many thought heading into the season. This is not a great matchup for them however, as the Eagles defensive line is still very dominant, especially against the run. Arizona’s best success this year has been when running back James Conner is healthy and running hard. Conner and that offensive line will struggle against the Eagles rush defense though. The Cardinals will need to throw the ball against an Eagles back seven that is missing linebackers and top corner Darius Slay. There’s a potential and/or situation here as well as that is Murray can also take advantage of the linebackers with his running abilities. Hasson Reddick continues to be a fierce pass rusher for Philly, but he’ll need to stay disciplined with his rush lane and not allow Murray to sneak out the side door. There’s a pretty big injury to keep tabs on heading into the game, and that’s wide receiver Marquise Brown. Without Brown in the lineup, the Cardinals simply don’t have a serious threat, which makes containing Murray a lot easier. Tight end Tre McBride has done a really nice job providing a strong target in the middle of the field and he figures to be busy in this game.

If you’re on Twitter, check out @BrettKollmann who put out a great breakdown on why the Eagles offense hasn’t looked as dynamic as it did a season ago. We would summarize it here, but let’s focus instead on this particular matchup against the Cardinals. Arizona has been flat-out bad on defense all season. They’re essentially undermanned at all three levels of defense, and that will be evident against an offense like Philadelphia. We can critique offensive coordinator Brian Johnson all day long, but the fact of the matter is in this game, it’s simply not going to matter. The Eagles offensive line, which will welcome back guard Landon Dickerson, should have very little issue pushing around the defensive line of the Cardinals. Arizona is ranked dead last in rush defense, which means as long as the Eagles don’t get too cute, they should have little issue scoring simply by involving D’Andre Swift and Kenneth Gainwell early and often. Arizona is also bad at defending number one wide receivers, meaning A.J. Brown should have a nice day as well. We won’t even get into the other weapons of the Eagles, who certainly also have favorable matchups against the Cardinals defense. You could argue there are only four, or possibly five players on Arizona’s defense that should be starting in the NFL. As long as the Eagles don’t put the ball on the ground, they should light up the scoreboard.

Key Stats and Trends
– The Cardinals are 1-10 straight up in their last 11 road games
– The
total has gone over in 4 of the last 6 games for the Cardinals
– The total has gone over in 7 of the last 8 games between the Cardinals and Eagles

The Cardinals have given the Eagles some trouble in the past and it’s not impossible they would continue to do that on Sunday. Additionally, the Eagles offense is not the juggernaut it was a season ago. There’s a big, yeah but when it comes to the this game though. The Cardinals defense is just really really bad. The Eagles are going to bully them in the running game and take advantage of their poor pass defense to make plays throwing the football. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles haven’t always been great at taking care of the football, but they’ll truly be the only ones who can stop themselves against Arizona. This is another spot with a team who is more statistically likely to put up a lot of points as opposed to flat out covering against the spread.

BetCrushers Take: Philadelphia Eagles – Team Total Over 29.5
Eagles 34, Cardinals 24

Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears

vs.
Atlanta Falcons (7-8) vs. Chicago Bears (6-9)
Sunday December 31st
1:00pm
Soldier Field – Chicago, IL
Chicago Bears -3 (-110)
Over/Under 38 (-110)

The Bears defense will be focused on slowing down Bijan Robinson and the Falcons running game

The Atlanta Falcons are fighting for their playoff lives when they travel to Soldier Field to take on a Chicago Bears team that is technically still alive for a wild card spot as well. A win for the Falcons would give them a realistic chance at getting into the dance, and slam the door shut on a suddenly revived Chicago Bears team. There’s some athletes on the offensive side of the ball for both teams, but it could be the defenses that determine who walks away with the win in this game.

The Falcons head into their matchup with the Bears with a banged up offensive line, which is not ideal no matter who the opponent is. Four of the five starters are listed as questionable, and while most, if not all will play, not being 100% could impact their offensive production. Taylor Heinicke will get the start at QB again, and while that is probably the correct decision compared to Desmond Ridder, in this particular matchup, it may not be beneficial to the team. The Bears pass rush has really elevated since the addition of Montez Sweat, even with the loss of Yannick Ngakoue, and Ridder’s mobility could have been utilized a little better than that of Heinicke. The big obstacle for the Falcons offense on Sunday is what could be a challenge running the football. The Bears are allowing just over 3 and a half yards per carry. Pretty much everything Atlanta attempts to do on offense is predicated on running the football. Whether Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier or Cordarelle Patterson, the rushing attack is what moves this unit. If the Bears can control the running game, Heinicke must find a way to get the ball to Drake London and his receivers. That’s a problem as well as the healthy Bears secondary has been opportunistic and aggressive once healthy. The biggest advantage the Falcons have is with tight ends Kyle Pitts and Johnnu Smith as Chicago has had some difficulties defending opposing tight ends. Can Atlanta game plan enough to use their athletic tight ends as primary weapons? Or can they overpower the tough Bears run defense on the ground? Neither seem as though they’re be likely to happen.

The Justin Fields audition period continues and it’s hard to know at this point what direction the Bears might be heading next season with their top draft picks. What we know for this weekend is he’ll face a Falcons defense that is good at stopping the run, and has limited opposing quarterbacks in that spot as well. Fields has made some solid throws since his return to the lineup from injury, but he could be limited if tight end Cole Kmet is unable to go. Kmet has been a huge target and weapon for the Bears in their recent success, and his absence would really alter their approach. What really is worth watching is whether or not the power running game of the Bears can crack through that defense of the Falcons? The Bears can likely do enough to keep them ahead of the chains on the ground, but explosive plays are probably not going to happen much there. That puts even more pressure on Fields and an also banged up D.J. Moore and Darnell Mooney to get the chunk plays needed offensively. One other nugget to pay attention to is the weather in Chicago, as it is expected to be cold and windy. That probably doesn’t give a huge advantage to either team, except several of the Bears are a little more accustomed to dealing with the elements.

Key Stats and Trends
– The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. the Cardinals
– The
Falcons are 2-11 straight up in their last 13 road games
– The
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
– The Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. the Cardinals

The Atlanta Falcons are the epitome of an average football team when you look at the sum of all of their parts. Where they are below average is at the most important position on the field, the quarterback role. You could make the same argument regarding the Bears, but Justin Fields at least gives the extra element of rushing the football. Over the first half of the season the Bears were not an average football team, but as we head down the stretch you can make the argument they are one of the ten to twelve best teams in the league right now. Too little too late as far as making the playoffs this year goes, but enough to get a home win and a cover against the Atlanta Falcons. This one will probably be close, but the homefield advantage and more dynamic quarterback play should be the difference here. Bear down for a rare play on Chicago from us.

BetCrushers Take: Chicago Bears -3
Bears 23, Falcons 18



San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Commanders

vs.
San Francisco 49ers (11-4) vs. Washington Commanders (4-11)
Sunday December 31st
1:00pm
FedEx Field – Landover, MD
San Francisco 49ers -12.5 (-110)
Over/Under 50 (-110)

Brock Purdy should rebound versus a struggling Commander defense

The cruise to a Super Bowl Championship for the 49ers hit a speed bump as they were throttled by the Ravens in week 16. The team, and quarterback Brock Purdy need to bounce back for both playoff seeding, and to re-establish their confidence entering the playoffs. A date with the Washington Commanders could be good for what ails them, as Ron Rivera appears to be a lame duck coach riding out the final two games of the season.

Let’s pump the brakes on the demise of the 49ers and specifically their offense off of one poor performance against a very good Ravens defense. In fact, it’s not as though San Francisco was shut down offensively, they simply shot themselves in the foot with 5 turnovers. We can go out on a very long limb here and say they aren’t going to turn the ball over at that rate again two weeks in a row, especially against the Washington Commanders defense. Since the trade deadline, the Commanders join the Cardinals and Packers are arguably the worst defense in the NFL. They’re allowing 4.6 yards per carry to opposing rushers, so Christian McCaffrey should continue his MVP type season on the ground. That’s a pretty safe assumption even with All-Pro left tackle Trent Williams potentially missing the contest. If that isn’t concerning enough for the Commanders, they’ve been even worse defending the pass. Losing their edge rushers has taken away any sign of a pass rush, and their secondary has underperformed all season. It’s always a delicate subject in hyping up the impact of coaching too much, but Kyle Shanahan is simply on another level calling plays in 2023. He will have a nice plan for quarterback Brock Purdy that not only leads this offense effectively, but also puts him in manageable situations to regain any lost confidence he may have let slip after last week’s performance. The Commanders have one advantage on this side of the ball, and it’s with their interior defensive linemen Daron Payne and Johnathan Allen. They’ll be facing a shuffled interior of the 49ers offensive line. For them to pull off a massive upset, they’ll need to completely dominate and somehow try to get turnovers off of this offense for a second week in a row. Good luck with that.

Head coach Ron River is probably coaching his last two games and he of course wants to go out as a winner, or possibly save his job, even though that’s a long shot. That results in him rolling with journeyman quarterback Jacoby Brissett to lead his offense and the benching of young Sam Howell. Brissett does give the Commanders a better chance to win and has been more effective when in the lineup, but what are they really gaining? It sure feels like getting some reps and more looks at Howell would make more sense for a team that won’t be in the playoffs, but again, everyone wants to win. Brissett will face a defense that is loaded on paper, yet still hasn’t been as dominant as many believed they would be. That could change though against a Washington offensive line that has been abysmal. In watching their tape, they are flat out awful at pass protection. Against the 49ers stable of first round draft picks along the defensive line that spells disaster for Brissett and the passing game. Washington will need to lean on quick throws and hope their trio of wideouts can make plays. That will also include their screen game, although all three of their running backs enter the game questionable with a variety of injuries. Throughout his career Brissett has garnered a reputation of making good decisions and not taking unnecessary risks, which will be good in the first quarter of this game. However, if the Niners are able to score when they have the ball, Brissett is going to have to take some chances. After all, does it matter if you lose by one point or by fourteen points? Only when you’re betting against the spread.

Key Stats and Trends
– The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
– The
total has gone over in 5 of the last 6 games for the 49ers
– The
Commanders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
– The Commanders are 0-5 straight up in their last 5 home games

We’ve mentioned with the 49ers and in particular Christian McCaffrey it’s best not to overthink things, and that’s the case again here. The 49ers are still either the best or second best team in the league at this point, and the Commanders are one of the three worst ballclubs playing for a lame duck coach. After their embarrassing loss a week ago they’ll get back on a track in a game where they’re just flat out better across the board than they’re opponent. Look for Brock Purdy to get back to his nice stat lines and the defense of the 49ers to make the impact on the team they’ve been trying to do as of late. We’ll double-dip with the 49ers here, grabbing their usual team total, and also laying the big number.

BetCrushers Take: San Francisco 49ers -12.5 and San Francisco 49ers – Team Total Over 30.5
49ers 37, Commanders 20


Teaser Bet

New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs

vs. and vs.

New York Jets (6-9) vs. Cleveland Browns (10-5)
Thursday December 28th
8:15pm
Cleveland Browns Stadium – Cleveland, OH
Cleveland Browns -7 (-110)
Over/Under 34 (-110)

Cincinnati Bengals (8-7) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (9-6)
Sunday December 31st
4:25pm
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO
Kansas City Chiefs -7 (-110)
Over/Under 44.5 (-110)

Joe Flacco is playing great for the Browns as Patrick Mahomes has struggled of late

TEASER MOVES SPREADS TO: Browns -1 and Chiefs -1

Our first teaser leg doubles down on the fact we like the Browns to cover the spread against the Jets on Thursday night. If Cleveland can get the win against New York, leg two will require the Kansas City Chiefs to get back into the win column against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Chiefs are at a crossroads in their 2023 season, and are looking to avoid back-to-back losses to backup quarterbacks in their home stadium. Will a backup QB for the Jets, or the Bengals blow up this teaser, or can the home teams with the veteran quarterbacks hold serve?

Hopefully you caught our Twitter Post with this Browns/Chiefs teaser as the first leg as already gotten home with the Browns handling the Jets. Just another reminder to follow us @TheBetCrushers. The second leg is relying on the Chiefs to overcome what has been a really pesky opponent for them in recent years. The Bengals head into Arrowhead with Jake Browning getting another start coming off of a bit of a reality check after his initial hot start. Browning has kept the Bengals offense respectable during his starts, although the atmosphere in Kansas City is going to be a lot for the QB. The Chiefs may have lost a week ago to the Raiders, but their defense only surrendered three points. The Bengals offensive line will be in a 60 minute fight with the defense of Chiefs. Joe Mixon and rookie Chase Brown are keys for Cincinnati as the offense tends to stall when they don’t run the ball well. Mixon has had some nice efforts in the past against KC and early in the game he’ll have every opportunity to establish the ground game. This could be even more critical as wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase is working his way back from a shoulder injury and missing last week. Chase looks like he’ll be ready to go, and wasn’t shy about sharing his thoughts about what the Bengals can do to the KC defense. The Bengals like to run multi-receiver routes which is the best way to attack Kansas City in their secondary. Browning is capable as a runner and for the Bengals to win, he’ll need to make several big runs, particularly on third downs. On offense, we all need to come to the realization the Kansas City Chiefs are average. That seems wild to say when Patrick Mahomes is the quarterback, but even the top signal-callers in the league need a little bit of help. Mahomes hasn’t had much in that department in any direction you look. His offensive tackles have struggled and they’ll go head-to-head with Trey Hendrickson and Sam Hubbard, which could make Mahomes more of a scrambler as well. He’s certainly able to utilize his legs, but that’s not ideally what he or the offense want to be doing. When he does throw the ball he needs someone, anyone, to step up and make some plays. One would think that it would be Travis Kelce, and it may, however we have to start accepting the fact he’s just not been as dominant as in the previous few seasons. Whether that is tied in with the offensive line performance or whether he’s lost a step, it’s obvious he just isn’t as impactful. We’ve seen what Kadarius Toney and Skyy Moore have been, which essentially leaves Rashee Rice as the only weapon for Mahomes. Add in injuries to Jerick McKinnon who was his top pass catching back, and the fact Isaiah Pacheco may miss the game with a concussion and there’s a lot of pressure on Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes to make things happen.

Key Stats and Trends
– The Jets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games
– The
Jets are 2-9 straight up in their last 11 road games
– The
Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games
– The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games
– The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. the Chiefs
– The Chiefs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games

It’s so wild to think a Bengals team with Jake Browning could go into Arrowhead and beat the Patrick Mahomes guided Chiefs, yet it could realistically happen. This game could be really tight, and even without Joe Burrow, the Bengals are not afraid of Kansas City as they’ve proven they can beat them. To be honest, we don’t feel great about this teaser leg, but the Chiefs can’t possibly lose again, can they? Surely they can find enough in the gas tank and Andy Reid’s playbook to get the much needed home win. We’ve heard a lot about the downfall of the Chiefs dynasty, and we’re ignoring it for now, at least until we see the result of their game with the Bengals. This is where the Chiefs continue their playoff run, and the Bengals comes to an end for the 2023 season. Maybe?

BetCrushers Take: Tease Browns -1 and Chiefs -1
Browns 27, Jets 10 / Chiefs 20, Bengals 17


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