2024 NASCAR Playoffs: Round of 16 Preview

What a race. More specifically, what a finish in Sunday night's Southern 500! There was plenty to take away between Martin Truex Jr. putting himself on shaky ground and season first-time winner Chase Briscoe punching his postseason ticket at the last possible moment. Briscoe's Crown Jewel victory and Harrison Burton's…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 8-5-2024

Inclement weather was indeed a factor in Friday night's AL East contest in the Bronx. Then again, so were the Blue Jays' bats! But in my case nothing ventured, nothing gained with the scrappy underdog that evening. Now we shift to the AL West for a Texas-sized series that could…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 8-2-2024

I think I've nailed down all of my Trade Deadline adjustments. What a whirlwind once again between buyers, sellers, and even a few in-between clubs straddling the line. After a slim Thursday slate, the MLB Morning Breakdown for 8-2-2024 gets back in action to handicap the series opener between the…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-26-2024

Our first post-ASB edition comes after a full seven days of action on the diamonds. And with the trade deadline looming, we're starting to find out which borderline clubs are buyers and which are sellers. The MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-26-2024 hones in on the competitive AL East in which…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-9-2024

Monday's slate certainly wasn't worth pounding on the keyboard for. But when it comes to the series-opening game between National League titans, I'm willing to set the alarm clock an hour early. The Los Angeles Dodgers travel cross-country into hostile territory to trade blows with the Philadelphia Phillies. Both clubs…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-2-2024

Expect no shortage of motivation in Seattle tonight as the 53-31 Baltimore Orioles face the 47-39 Mariners in a clash of American League division leaders. The AL East co-leader Orioles find themselves in a high-powered race with the Yankees, currently sitting as the 1-2 combo atop the runs scored leaderboard.…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-24-2024

The grind rolls on as summertime settled in abruptly last week. Fortunately, many of us - including the MLB's finest - catch a break from the steamy hot weather that has gripped most of the USA. Conditions are great for baseball tonight, so let's jump right into the new week…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-19-2024

R.I.P. to a legend. A pillar of the sport's storied past. On with the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-19-2024... Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves (ATL -125, 7) Last time we checked in on the Braves, Albert Suarez was cutting through the lineup like a hot knife through butter. Then Atlanta's…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-11-2024

Monday's lackluster slate pulled a couple totals wagers out of me with mixed results. As for inspiration to write up a handicap yesterday morning, slim to none is a good way of putting it with those six games. Different animal altogether on this fine Tuesday morning. So let's get things…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-4-2024

The Breakdown is back after a 10-day bucket list trip to Peru where the streets are crazy and the terrain is epic. Those Incas really knew how to hammer some stones! Back to business after Monday's short slate. Today's menu presents more options and the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-4-2024…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-20-2024

It's Monday morning and the perfect time to scope out a batch of fresh series kicking off across the Majors. There's also a doubleheader day to close out the Padres/Braves series, but those are a pass for me. Instead, the MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-20-2024 highlights the AL Central leading…

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MLB 2024 First Quarter Report

The 2024 MLB season is roughly one-quarter of the way finished, making now a great time to self-assess our preseason projections. Where are things on track? And more importantly, where has JJ's outlook led him astray? Weather is improving across the country but recent cooler temps have reminded us how…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-6-2024

Monday ushers in a handful of new series getting underway, joining a weekend carryover in Philadelphia. Divisional battles in Cleveland and Oakland shape up to be interesting early-season tests. This week's Breakdown turns to Target Field with a pair of teams on the right trajectory as May comes into bloom.…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-29-2024

The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-29-2024 takes on a matchup between squads exiting big series against playoff contenders. In the meantime, an interesting thing to note: we're 4+ weeks into the 2024 season and scoring is down about one-tenth of a run per team/game compared to this point last year.…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-22-2024

A little too much "excitement" at the day job kept me away from a midweek Breakdown. Fortunately, the new week kicks off with a pretty chunky Monday slate to break down. Without a ton of strong feelings on today's contests, we've dialed up an interesting Solo Shot in the MLB…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-15-2024

Rain and travel washed out the Thursday Breakdown but Monday is clear and the slate is jam packed. The MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-15-2024 kicks off with the early Patriots' Day tilt in Boston before heading to Milwaukee for a juicy matchup between NL playoff contenders. We'll be back Wednesday…

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The Bank On NASCAR Podcast Episode 10: Texas

Feeling empty after the Martinsville race? The Cup Series says goodbye to the short tracks for now and hello to the season's second bread-and-butter 1.5-mile intermediate: Texas Motor Speedway. The Bank On NASCAR Podcast Episode 10: Texas looks past the mediocrity that Texas Motor Speedway has produced since the repave…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-9-2024

A telling resolution to yesterday's question about which way to go in Toronto came down to Luis Castillo extending his troubling start to the season to a third outing. 4 more runs given up and another high BABIP outing helped the Jays snag a much needed win in their home…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-8-2024

We left off with a Friday night Solo Shot before the weekend hit and I headed west on the highway. The Mets bats had enough oomph to claim the team's second win of the season, all while keeping the under alive in Cincinnati. With the weekend in the rear view…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-5-2024

Cool temps couldn't hold the ball in the yard in Saint Louis or Washington, that's for sure. And despite plenty of shaky moments, the AL Central tilt in Minnesota featured in yesterday's post somehow stayed under the total. Cleveland's hit parade in the 3rd was enough to bring home the…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-4-2024

Mother Nature might actually cut today's action on the diamonds some much needed slack - especially in New York where the undefeated Tigers want to keep their status as the last remaining undefeated team alive. The Tigers/Mets double header makes six games on the slate with a pair of AL…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-1-2024

The sloppy show in Cincinnati soured Baltimore's rocking chair winner Saturday afternoon. Being risk averse helped in that case, though getting involved in what turned out to be a messy one is another story altogether. A productive opening weekend left us ready to tackle a meaty Monday slate that is…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 3-30-2024

Opening Day is in the books and what a ride Thursday's 4:00 window was. The excitement and the sweats that came with it force me to remind myself that we're only 12 wagers into a 400-600 wager season! With yesterday afternoon's pair of rescheduled games wrapping up unfinished business, the…

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Handicapping the 2024 Opening Day Slate

Alright boys and girls, March 28th is so close you can taste it. And that means one thing - okay, maybe more than just one - it's time for a rundown of 2024 Opening Day handicapping. Then we'll kick off the 6th Annual MLB Morning Breakdown series with a featured…

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Handicapping the 2024 Seoul Series

The "real" Opening Day isn't until March 28th but the MLB World Tour's 2024 Seoul Series officially counts as the first two games of the season. Festivities kick off with a two-game set between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres across the Pacific Ocean. It's a shorter commute…

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2024 NL Central Preview & Futures

Milwaukee persevered in a division of hot runs devoid of staying power. Of course, perennial NL Central favorite St. Louis bottoming out did not hurt whatsoever. The 20-8 start from Pittsburgh flamed out, Cincinnati's early summer heater ran out of fuel, and the Cubbies' post-ASB run petered out in September.…

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2024 AL East Preview & Futures

What a difference one year makes! Sure, the Baltimore Orioles gave us a sneak peak of their future plans in 2022 but last year's achievements were far and away one of the MLB's biggest surprises. Despite Tampa Bay's 29-7 start to the campaign, Baltimore outlasted the Rays in the division…

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2024 NL East Preview & Futures

When it comes to last year's preseason expectations, the NL East showed tremendous strength with four of its five teams ultimately exceeding their win totals. The debacle in Queens stood as the lone exception. That's a whole other story onto itself. Marginal clubs like the Marlins and Nationals finished the…

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2024 NL West Preview & Futures

Last year I asked whether there were enough cracks in L.A.'s armor to unseat them from the NL West throne. The answer was a resounding "no". But things quickly went downhill once the postseason rolled around. Ironically, the Dodgers' early exit came at the hands of no other than the…

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2024 AL West Preview & Futures

From a torrid 40-20 start through a ho-hum summer, the Texas Rangers played the role of postseason road warriors on their way to the franchise's first World Series Championship. 11 of their 13 playoff wins came away from Globe Life Field! The Rangers' third AL Pennant came at the expense…

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2024 AL Central Preview & Futures

We're becoming big fans of the AL Central after a correlated under/over win total pairing with Chicago and Minnesota got home. And that was one year removed from being rewarded for buying low on both Minnesota and Cleveland. (Don't worry, this self-back slapping gives way to shame in the NL…

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2023 NASCAR Playoffs: Round of 8 Preview

The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Championship landscape just got rockier. Strong work by the teams on top combined with Ryan Blaney's must-win execution ushers in a dicey Round of 8. Las Vegas, Homestead, and Martinsville stand in the way of four drivers punching their ticket into Championship contention at Phoenix.…

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2023 NASCAR Playoffs: Round of 12 Preview

The first set of cuts in the 2023 NASCAR Playoffs came after one hell of a Bristol Night Race. JGR's domination on that misty night led to a Denny Hamlin victory while his cohorts Martin Truex Jr. and Christopher Bell moved on in the postseason gauntlet. Toyota's five playoff representatives…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 8-8-2023

It only took three days or so but I think I've finished making adjustments after a hectic Trade Deadline last week. Teams are crystallizing into their stretch run forms as the grind continues in the first half of August with a full slate of Tuesday baseball. And the search for…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-31-2023

A ho-hum week and choppy weekend right aligned well with the dog days of summer while leaving me in the game with an interesting Monday slate ahead. As July comes to a close, it drags along with it the MLB trade deadline where hopeful contenders pair up with sellers to…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-24-2023

Much like taking a catcher's mask to the face, failure to plate an early run or two in Anaheim left last Monday's Solo Shot - and my only wager of the evening - a tad short. I appreciate both bullpens following the script, but an L is an L. A…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-17-2023

Boston's decisive victory Friday night was more than welcome coming out of the All-Star Break. Plus it jumpstarted a busy weekend on the diamonds that provides a bright spot for the week ahead. A strong outing from Brayan Bello and late run support got us to the pay window, shaking…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-14-2023

The second half of the 2023 MLB season is here after what seemed like the longest All-Star Break in a while. I missed the game and I missed handicapping it even though the break lined up well with a hectic workweek. The lackluster first half of featured handicaps represented about…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-6-2023

Indecision on my part with Wednesday's Jays/White Sox game simply did not matter as Chicago succumbed to another day getting pounded by rain. Today I'll shift gears to a conflict between the market and my numbers that has me locked up this morning. The issue is whether to do something…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 7-5-2023

Last Thursday's whiff came in the middle of an up-and-down betting week that gave way to a two-day break for the July 4th holiday. We have five days of "first half" action left in the 2023 season before the All-Star Break rolls around on Monday. So let's get back in…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-29-2023

Less sweat, more profit. That's something I can get behind. A rare dub for the featured handicaps leads into an interesting slate of matinee baseball on this fine Thursday. My betting card is all totals and the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-29-2023 takes us to a steamy Kauffman Stadium for…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-28-2023

An uneventful start to the betting week leads into a low-volume Wednesday with just a pair of wagers in hand this morning. I'll take what the slate gives me as the season rolls along with less than two weeks before the All-Star Break. After splitting Friday night's featured handicaps, it's…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-23-2023

Last week's puff piece about the Cincinnati Reds' heater was ironically hung out to dry via a failed team total bid. Never fear though, their bats revved back up to close out the weekend series in Houston strong and keep the funds rolling in the right direction. I would apologize…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-16-2023

A sketchy 6th inning in Oakland made things interesting yesterday afternoon to say the least. But that goes with the territory with full game unders...and I wouldn't have it any other way. Let's switch gears today to a pair of team totals in a late MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-16-2023.…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-15-2023

I won't say the L train has been derailed but at least the Giants slowed the thing down a bit. San Francisco's smooth sailing over their team total Tuesday night helps the featured handicaps a touch as we roll into another solo shot in the MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-15-2023.…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-13-2023

A close call with the Marlins Friday evening unfortunately did not pay the bills. Eury did his part to push the first half wager, though the full game position keeps the featured handicap L train rolling down the tracks. It's borderline comical what kind of garbage I'm tossing out there…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-9-2023

Life after vacation has a way of punching you in the mouth...at least for us suckers with day jobs. The choppy betting week meets a slate that I have embraced with a card as full as the days before heading overseas. Overextended? Maybe. It's Friday though, and Smokey had it…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 6-6-2023

What a long strange trip it's been. That was to be expected with Amsterdam anyhow. Getting home from Germany took an unexpected twist though, eating up all of Sunday and most of Monday. It's good to get our feet back on U.S. soil and get my handicapping tools updated after…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-25-2023

Last weekend's 1-1 split with the featured handicaps paints an accurate picture of my total action on the diamonds the last week or two. Choppy weeks are part of the grind and I've learned to take the chop in stride at this point in my handicapping "career". As opposed to…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-21-2023

At this point, our features gladly welcomed some 8th inning heroics to get a much-needed win. Baltimore's failure to produce in the 6th & 7th innings with multiple runners on base went by the wayside when Ryan O'Hearn picked up the slack in a major way. Still plenty of work…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-20-2023

Between a crazy work schedule and a 101-degree fever this week, I'm just happy it's the weekend. We all hit rough patches here and there but vacation is right around the corner so the vibes are good around these parts! No complaints overall with progress this season other than weakness…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-16-2023

Handicapping on a daily basis is a challenge that I've loved tackle for a long time now. Choosing which ones to headline a few days a week in the Breakdown has been the tough part so far in 2023. Saturday was no different. My reliance on Houston's bullpen and defense…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-13-2023

As good as Eduardo Rodriguez was last week, JV's big day in Cincy overshadowed Wednesday's early win. I made the fatal flaw of underestimating the accomplished veteran and overvaluing the top of the Reds lineup. Thursday's sketchy slate left the door open for Friday action but I left my morning…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-10-2023

I took it personally when the A's pushed a pair of runs across in the 6th inning Monday night, then quickly got over it with the help of Kansas City's rout of the White Sox. Neither Cease nor Cortes were especially effective despite Oakland going scoreless in the first half…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-8-2023

With my civic duty completed and our annual Kentucky Derby party in the books, it's time to get back in the saddle with the MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-8-2023. Minnesota's first half stalemate way back on Tuesday dropped the featured handicaps back into the red. But the season is alive…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 5-2-2023

Sunday's see-saw battle in Oakland brought home the over even with 18 men left on base between the Reds and A's. Hey, whatever it takes to get the dub is good enough for me. Unfortunately, the new month brought a short Monday slate that I had to pass on. Today's…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-30-2023

Today's MLB slate shrinks with wet weather peppering the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic for a second day in a row. So we'll head west to find clear skies for a solo shot in the MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-30-2023. It felt good to be on the right side of Cincinnati's late-game…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-26-2023

Much like the Rangers' bullpen meltdown Monday night, the "success" of our featured handicaps ran away and appears to be in hiding. That's the risk of writing up about a third of my total action on the young season. For all of you who keep coming back, we appreciate you.…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-24-2023

A rather blah betting weekend for me with the MLB was in the cards after a decent run to start the season. Saturday's Mets call did not come to fruition against an on-point Logan Webb. After all, riding the David Peterson train can be a bumpy ride at times. But…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-22-2023

Turns out it was the Twins bullpen that blinked last night. Credit is due to both Tyler Mahle and Trevor Williams for sharp pitching performances at a cold Target Field. Griffin Jax, well, not so much. After a give some-take some kind of night including a cancelled under ticket in…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-21-2023

Thursday's short MLB slate kept me on the sidelines after a nice Wednesday run featuring the under in Detroit. Three weeks into the season and some teams have shown their true colors while others are still beating around the bush. That makes for very interesting early season handicapping! After a…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-19-2023

No harm, no foul with Monday's position on the Phillies in Chicago. Guess I should have seen that coming with nasty weather blowing through the Great Lakes this week. After a Tuesday with no action - my first dry day of the season - the MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-19-2023…

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MLB Morning Breakdown for 4-17-2023

Getting back to the homefront after a productive week on the road feels good but Monday means out of the frying pan and into the fire for me. A sweaty Saturday at Fenway transitioned to an easier finish in Kansas City to get our featured handicaps back into the black.…

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