PREVIOUS WEEK RESULTS:
4-3

SEASON RESULTS:
47-29-2

Week 10 Recap:

With our posted plays not performing, we’ll gladly take a 4-3 day with our player props in week number ten. What’s more, we narrowly escaped as the totals posted were pretty darn spot on and a little too close for comfort. However, as is the life in sports gambling, we needed that after losing two player props a week prior by the hook of .5 receptions. The wide receivers accounted for all three of our losses as the trio of Keenan Allen, Robert Woods and Michael Thomas all failed to go over their reception or yardage totals. As three of the best in the game, and Woods having a dream matchup it’s surprising and disappointing they couldn’t get it done. We relied on Tom Brady to have a bounce-back performance and he played as expected en route to his team putting up 43 points. Russell Wilson struggled against a tough Rams defense which forced him to run as we thought, eclipsing his rushing total. Our two nail-biters were in the same contest between the Washington Football Team and the Detroit Lions. It looked like some soft yards late in the 4th quarter might helped Matthew Stafford hit his over total, but he fell just short as we won with our only under selected. And finally the closest of all as Antonio Gibson rushed his way to 45 yards beating his mark by the hook of .5 as he was set at 44.5. As we started this article by saying, 4-3 is nothing to brag about, but we’ll take the modest win as we look ahead to this weekend’s player action.

Week 11 Preview:

Only one under this week again as we’re locked in on eight players with matchups that lean toward overs. It’s not only more enjoyable to bet overs, it’s been a formula that’s worked well for the BetCrushers this season. One trend that’s slightly different however is that we’ve only got one quarterback on the radar with this slate as we’re heavy on the running backs. As the weather cools, the passing games become a little less predictable, but the ground games keep rolling. Best of luck with all of your plays this week!

Our Picks:

Miles Sanders – Over 64.5 Yards Rushing (-110)

The Eagles and Browns each need a win on Sunday to keep pace in their respective divisions. The NFC East isn’t actually respectable, yet the Eagles still need a win to stay in the hunt with the Giants surging. The offense didn’t look great last week as they welcomed back their starting running back Miles Sanders, although he looked pretty good in his return. Against the Browns the Eagles will have their offensive line as healthy as it’s been this season which should help, while the Browns will be without the services of their best player Myles Garrett on their defensive line. The Browns have been good against the run, but they haven’t been tested much. Sanders won’t likely find his way to a 100 yard day, but he should get enough volume to crack his mark of 64.5.

A.J. Green – Under 42.5 Yards Receiving (-110)

It’s difficult to know if A.J. Green’s struggles this season are a result of age, attitude, or lack of chemistry with rookie quarterback Joe Burrow. Whatever the reason, Green has only topped 35 yards receiving twice in the last seven games. The Bengals face the number one ranked pass defense when they take on the Washington Football Team which isn’t exactly the way to get out of a slump. Green has the talent and experience to make things happen, but it’s clear he’s fallen way behind Tyler Boyd and rookie Tee Higgins in the targets department. He’s capable, but we’re going to play the trend on this one and assume he will continue to be pretty quiet against Washington.

Philip Rivers – Over 270.5 Yards Passing (-110)

Speaking of playing the trends, here is one that might be surprising if you haven’t followed Philip Rivers closely throughout his career. The team he has feasted on statistically better than any during his time in the league is the Green Bay Packers. It’s easier to attack the Packers on the ground than through the air, but in this game, it’s likely that there will be quite a bit of passing. Rivers has done a nice job of spreading the ball around and the Colts have used the running backs in the passing game as well as any team in the league this season. It’s a tall order against the Packers pass rush and secondary and it’s certainly possible Rivers could toss some interceptions. For this player prop, we don’t need Rivers to play a great game, we just need some yards statistically, and in the comfort of the dome, he has a good chance to get that done.

Terry McLaurin – Over 73.5 Yards Receiving (-110)

In our DraftKings DFS article we listed our “Star of the Week” as wide receiver Terry McLaurin in his matchup with the Bengals. We’re doubling down and playing his individual yardage prop as well. McLaurin is quietly putting together a really nice season as his statistics are in the same ballpark as the big name players you hear about each week. Alex Smith showed he is back and comfortable throwing for over 300 yards last week with McLaurin topping 100. The Bengals are a bottom five passing defense in the league and McLaurin should feast against their struggling cornerbacks. This is one of the BetCrushers favorite plays of the weekend.

Jamaal Williams – Over 11.5 Yards Receiving (-110)

We’ve got three “lower-tier” players in our prop corner this Sunday and the first is Green Bay Packer Jamaal Williams. He isn’t a starter, so banking on his over might seem a little risky at first glance. We’re really playing a number here as he needs only 12 yards receiving to beat his yardage total. Williams generally gets 2 series per game as the feature back and is often in on third down or obvious passing situations. In his last three games he has averaged 5 targets per game and totaled 37, 27, and 25 yards consecutively. In a game where Aaron Rodgers will face a solid pass rush and GB may not run the ball effectively, it seems like Williams should grab a few balls, which would make getting to that total of 12 yards very do-able.

Dalvin Cook – Over 97.5 Yards Rushing (-110)

There haven’t been a lot of instances of taking a running back over when they must eclipse the 100 yard marker over the past few seasons. Dalvin Cook has become the clear exception to that rule as he is as automatic as we’ve seen recently. The Vikings are heating up and so is Cook as he looks to stay hot in a friendly matchup against the Cowboys at home. There’s never a question of the Minnesota gameplan as it always starts with Cook running the football. The Cowboys are allowing 5 yards per carry and are 31st in the league in rush defense. In a game they’re favored to win, the game script should play more in Cook’s favor than against it. Barring an injury, the odds of Cook hitting the century mark are pretty darn good.

Hayden Hurst – Over 38.5 Yards Receiving (-110)

The New Orlean Saints are in the headlines as they’re starting Taysom Hill at quarterback against their rival Atlanta Falcons. It’s tough to know exactly how this game will go with Hill at quarterback, but one thing is well documented, and that is that Hayden Hurst has been on a roll lately. After a somewhat slow start, Matt Ryan and Hurst have developed some nice chemistry as he’s become a steady piece to this offense. The Saints defense will be focused on the talented wideouts of the Falcons, which means Hurst should have some room in the middle of the field. Throw in the fact they’re likely to bring some heat at Ryan and Hurst should serve as a nice safety option on quick throws, seeing enough targets to put up some yardage.

Chris Godwin – Over 60.5 Yards Receiving (-110)

The Buccaneers are facing one of the toughest defenses in the league when they play the Rams in a big NFC showdown. This prop is strictly based on player matchups when you examine where Tom Brady will go with the football in the passing game. The Rams corners, particularly Jalen Ramsey, will be on Mike Evans and Antonio Brown most of the game. The Rams are more vulnerable in the middle of the field covering slot receivers, where Godwin lines up most of the time. It’s not as though Brady won’t continue to spread the ball around as he normally does, it’s just that it should be a little less than usual. Godwin should finish this game with the bulk of the targets and yards in the passing game.

Kalen Ballage – Over 53.5 Yards Rushing (-110)

Jamaal Williams isn’t our only surprise play in week eleven as we have a wager locked in on Chargers running back Kalen Ballage. The journeyman back has bounced around a few teams, including his opponent on Sunday, the New York Jets. With Justin Jackson injured and Austin Ekeler still not back, Ballage has emerged as the number one back for the Chargers for the time being. In that stint he’s performed very capably earning praise of head coach Anthony Lynn and the offensive staff. It probably can’t be considered a “revenge” game against the Jets as he barely had a cup of coffee with the organization, but it can be considered a nice matchup. The Jets are heavy underdogs and it’s not impossible that the Chargers could build a big lead at some point during the game. If that is the case, Ballage should get plenty of totes. Needing to only go over 53.5 yards rushing, it seems like taking a back who should see at least 15 carries seems like a pretty solid play.

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