PREVIOUS WEEK RESULTS:
1-4

SEASON RESULTS:
45-45

Week 14 Recap:

A disappointing week 14 has us sitting at an even more disappointing 45-45 on the year in the prop corner as a 1-4 Sunday left us deflated. Glancing back our plays still seemed pretty solid with the exception of one that we deserve some criticism on. The way too risky play that we went with was taking Austin Hooper coming off of an injury and not knowing exactly what to expect in his return. Sure enough Hooper saw limited action as they worked him back in slowly and as a result only saw 3 total targets for the game resulting in two catches. The lone winner we had was Stefon Diggs over as it still seems safe to take overs against anyone playing the Lions. Despite a million points and yards, Alvin Kamara only ended up with 4 catches missing his over total, and Hunter Henry fell a catch shy as well as the Chargers rolled and ran much of the second half. Perhaps the most disappointing was Benny Snell, Jr. who certainly had the volume with 16 carries to hit his yardage total of 51.5, but a measly 2.6 yard average per carry kept him a dozen or so yards shy. Back to the chamber to get back into the black.

Week 15 Preview:

Week 15 usually coincides with fantasy football playoffs so a lot of the prop numbers you see will determine winners and losers in year long fantasy leagues. We’ve found four players that we think have a chance to go over their prop numbers and help in those fantasy matchups, and one that may not be able to help that much.

Our Picks:

Matt Ryan – Over 249.5 Yards Passing (-115)

A good tactic throughout this season is to take player prop unders against a fantastic San Francisco 49er defense. It might seem a little strange that we’d be going the opposite direction until you peel a few layers back here. For one thing, the game script will likely have the Falcons trailing which should lead to some heavy throwing volume for Ryan. Although Calvin Ridley is on IR for Atlanta, Ryan has his two favorite targets available with a healthy Julio Jones and Austin Hooper with a full week of practice. Most importantly for this wager, the 49ers are missing three of their four starters in the secondary including Richard Sherman on the corner. For a quarterback that routinely tosses for 300 yards, with the injuries to SF, 250 is a gamble we’re strategically willing to take.

Joe Mixon – Under 69.5 Yards Rushing (-115)

After a dismal first half of the season behind a horrendous offensive line, Bengals running back Joe Mixon has been one of the top performing rushers of the past month. An increase in snap percentage and an emphasis on making Mixon the focal point of the offense along with a bit of a softer schedule are all contributing factors in that recent success. After getting their first win of the season, the Bengals now have a date with the New England Patriots who have put the clamps on opposing backs all season. Needing a win in what should be a low scoring game, the Pats’ will focus on taking Mixon away and putting the game in the hands of Andy Dalton. Unless the Bengals can get a big lead which is not likely, Mixon should be caged in and under 70 rushing yards in this one.

Chris Carson – Over 82.5 Yards Rushing (-115)

The most coveted daily fantasy sports running back Sunday is the Seahawks Chris Carson who has a matchup against the leaky Carolina Panthers defense and should see an increased workload with backup Rashaad Penny on IR with an ACL injury. This situation is a little scary because it’s similar to betting on a team that the entire public world is betting on, which is rarely a good idea. However, when you look at this game, it is really difficult to imagine how Carson doesn’t top the century mark Sunday. As we say every week, there are no guarantees as anything can happen, but win or lose there will be zero regrets taking a flyer on Carson to top his yardage marker.

Devin Singletary – Over 2.5 Receptions (-110)

A physical game is predicted on Sunday Night Football as Devin Singletary takes aim at the very stout Pittsburgh Steelers defense. Rushing yards could be tough even for the impressive rookie who is averaging nearly 5 yards per carry as the starter for the Bills. Perhaps even more impressive has been Singletary’s ability in the passing game as he has proven a good screen receiver and able to run routes in the slot and on checkdowns. In fact, in the games that Singletary has played (he missed a month with injury) he has caught at least 3 passes in all except for 2 of them. The first was against the Dolphins in a game the team was in comfortable command of where Josh Allen threw only 8 times in the second half, and the other was the Thanksgiving game against the Cowboys where they again were in firm command and running a lot. This game is likely to be a 60 minute battle and with the Steelers pass rush, we should see some screens and checkdowns to Singletary.

Chris Godwin – Over 83.5 Yards Receiving (-130)

Without going back and actually checking, we’re pretty sure that Chris Godwin has been our most bet on player prop in the 2019 season. We lost by a 1/2 of a catch the last time with him, but before that is was all cash when it came to Godwin. We’re back on the Godwin bandwagon for a few reasons. First when we look at their opponent there is very little to fear about the Lions secondary as they have been scorched by nearly every team they’ve played through the air. Add in the fact that Mike Evans will not be in the lineup and that should send a few more targets in Godwin’s direction. FInally, his number is set even lower than it has been throughout much of the season as it’s only at 83.5 yards. The juice is at our limit of -130 but there is a reason why the juice is higher, this should absolutely happen.