PREVIOUS WEEK RESULTS:
4-2

SEASON RESULTS:
35-24

Week 9 Recap

On paper it was a solid 4-2 week for Prop Corner, but it really should have been more. Our favorite play was no-action as D’Andre Swift was inactive against the Bengals. After watching his backup Kyle Monongai rip through the Bengals defense for 176 rushing yards, it’s not a stretch to think Swift would have gotten us another prop cover had he played. Our other frustration was missing on Josh Allen’s rushing prop. We mentioned it was worth playing him as an anytime TD scorer, which came home, but for our actual bets, we took the L with his rushing yards. Our other miss was backing Kimani Vidal, who never got going as the Chargers offensive line issues continued, losing Joe Alt again to injury. We faded Bo Bix and Jacory Croskey-Merritt in tough matchups and cashed both as neither were able to get much going. We were backing Christian McCaffrey who had a monster game, and Javonte Williams who beat his yardage marker against the Cardinals. At the end of the day, the only thing that matters is 4-2. Should have been better, but we’ll take it.

Week 10 Preview:

There has to be a lot of opportunities we’re missing in week ten, but at the end of the day it’s just a really unappealing player prop card for us. Rather than forcing the issue, we’ll got light this week and limit things to just three total wagers. A quarterback, a running back, and a wide receiver all walk into a bar… Actually we’ll be the ones in the bar, watching one of each for this week’s edition of Prop Corner. Good luck to you and yours!

Our Picks:

James Cook – Over 84.5 Yards Rushing (-115)

The Buffalo Bills have their second matchup of the season against the Miami Dolphins in Hard Rock Stadium, not far from where James Cook grew up. Cook has been on a tear all season, and ranks second in rushing yards at the halfway point of the season. He has a very favorable matchup against a Miami Dolphins defense that has been shredded on the ground all season. This includes Cooks first matchup against them where he tallied 108 yards on just 19 carries. The Bills have transitioned into one of the best rushing teams in the league, and cook does the hefty lifting. Cook has gone for 87+ yards in 6 of his last 7 outings, and should be able to reach that mark again on Sunday. There are realistically only two paths to Cook not achieving this yardage total in the ballgame. He is either injured (always a risk with player prop overs), or the Bills are dominating so much that the team decides to give him a bit of a light week. With those two reasons as the only legitimate way we see this not getting home, we’ll certainly put a ticket in on this one.

Jordan Addison – Over 46.5 Yards Receiving (-115)

The Vikings Jordan Addison got off to a fast start after missing the first three game of the season due to a suspension. He’s cooled off a bit over the last two weeks, which can probably be attributed to some tough opponents and spotty quarterback play. Even having “cooled off”, he still managed to catch a couple long passes last week and hit 48 yards, despite only seeing 3 targets in the game. Because his running mate Justin Jefferson receives so much attention, it’s almost just a matter of time before Addison is able to get free each week. In week 10, he’ll face a Ravens secondary that has had it’s struggles stopping opposing receivers. With Lamar Jackson back at the helm for the Ravens offense, they’re likely to be scoring a lot in this game. That means J.J. McCarthy and the Vikings are going to have to try to keep up throwing the rock. On the fast turf, Addison should find his way to a 50+ yard game here. (He’s topped 100 in both home games he’s played in this season). Let’s hope the Ravens are fully focused on Jefferson, and they allow Addison to do enough damage to get over his prop.

Daniel Jones – Under 246.5 Yards Passing (-115)

After some mid-season MVP talk for the Colts Daniel Jones, he was brought back down to earth a bit with a multi-turnover debacle in their loss against the Steelers a week ago. Jones and the Colts, who are apparently all in this season after trading for Sauce Gardner, should be able to rebound a bit against a struggling Atlanta Falcons team. One area where the Falcons have not struggled however, is defending the pass, as they rank first in the league in yards allowed. We’ll see how well the Falcons paid attention to how the Steelers took away Daniel Jones first reads last week and see if they have a similar game plan. Jones has a lot of weapons, and we’re not necessarily thinking he struggles, but against a defense that has only allowed two quarterbacks to go over 200 yards passing against them, this total seems just a tad too high. This game will be a good test for both Jones and the Colts to see how the respond after last weekend, and we’re here for it. Regardless of whether it’s a sound response, or a poor one, we’re still thinking this number is just a little aggressive. Can Jones continue to defy the critics? Hopefully not this week.

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