One of the most increasingly popular betting options for both sharp bettors and amateur players are Super Bowl proposition bets. Over the last decade these bets have ballooned to well over 300 potential bets at many of the biggest sportsbooks, and over thousands if you want to dig far enough if 300 isn’t enough to find some wagers that you like. Many professional bettors line up hours before the bets are up to lock in their favorite plays in an effort to gain a slight advantage. For the rest of the world, these bets provide some added excitement for the already most watched event of the year. There is a common belief in the sports betting community that Super Bowl proposition bets are sucker plays that will steal your money, but there’s nothing wrong with doing a little research and playing responsibly for a little bit of fun. In some cases, they’re strictly games of chance, such as a heads or tails selection of the coin flip, but in other cases, you can absolutely do your homework to find some value with player and game totals. When in doubt, you’ll want to lean towards unders as a rule, however, pick and choose the fun props that you like.
Super Bowl LVI Prop Bet Preview:
We spent quite a bit of time looking through the extensive lists of plays and there are some really fun ones out there. We’ve got things broken down into two basic categories in this article: The first list showcases some of the more popular bets and some that we feel have a good chance of hitting. Part of the reason we don’t play several of these are the heavy juice (poor odds) that come with some things that appear to be “sure wins”. At the bottom are ones that we’re definitively locking in, or in simple terms, the wagers we think are most likely to win.
Props listed via Bovada Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbooks
Popular and Interesting Prop Bets
National Anthem
How long will it take Mickey Guyton to sing the National Anthem?
OVER 1:39 MINUTES (-125) / UNDER 1:39 MINUTES (+105)
This opened up around 1:35 seconds and the over has been getting bet up pretty hard. In recent years people have waited to record auditions outside of the stadium to time and gauge how long it will take the singer to perform the anthem. The average over the past decade has been around 1:45 seconds, so that gives you a good gauge of where the time has fallen in previous years. With approximately 6 seconds towards average, that seems like great value to bet the over, even if you missed getting it in at 1:35 earlier in the week.
Will the microphone for Mickey Guyton be on a microphone stand?
YES (-190) / NO (+160)
Eleven of the last twelve Super Bowl national anthem singers have had their microphones on a stand so the -190 juice makes sense. Guyton appears to consistently utilize a microphone stand from the best of our wonderous internet searches. There definitely isn’t anything to lead us to believe this trend will change, so it’s up to you if you want to risk the -190 juice here. We’re not betting it, but if we were, we’d have to lay the -190.
Coin Toss
What will the result of the coin toss be?
HEADS (-105) / TAILS (-105)
There is obviously no true skill here as this is a true 50-50 proposition. The juice is low so a small fun play here isn’t the worst thing in the world, it’s kinda like playing roulette at the casino. In the history of the Super Bowl it’s pretty close with tails hitting 29 times and heads 26 times. Heads has hit 3 of the past 4 Super Bowls. We’re going to go with our 8 year old BetCrusher handicapper Bradley who is voting for tails.
Will the team that wins the coin toss also win the Super Bowl?
YES (-105) / NO (-105)
Again, good odds and very little strategy here, just some good old fashioned gambling fun that anyone can understand. However, you can study recent trends to make an educated guess here. The team that has won the coin toss has lost the last 7 Super Bowls. Likely just coincidence, but if we’re playing this we’re going to stay with that trend.
Officiating
What will the longest accepted penalty be in the game?
OVER 15.5 Yards (-240) / UNDER 15.5 Yards (+160)
Amazingly, two years ago in year’s Super Bowl the juice was even for this penalty and of course went over with a pass interference call. In simple terms, this bet is basically whether or not there will be a pass interference call greater than 15 yards in the game. The way these two teams throw the ball, and their aggressive, yet suspect defensive backs play, this one sure seems like it’ll go over. With the juice at -240, there’s not nearly enough value to wager on this bet.
What will the outcome of the first coach’s challenge be?
CALL STANDS (-110) / OVERTURNED (-120)
With the new expedited reviews this season in the NFL, there have been less coaches challenges overall. The league did a nice job of correcting missed calls before they ever reach the review stage, so it’s not impossible that we may not even see a challenge in the game. (This would void the bet if you wager this). With such close odds, we’d have to go with a “call stands” as our play here as it seems this might end up being a desperation challenge for a coach, possibly late in the game to overturn a spot or close play.
How many penalties will be accepted in the game?
OVER 10.5 (-110) / UNDER 10.5 (-110)
Ronald Torbert’s crews began the 2021 season throwing flags at a heated pace, before settling in in the second half of the season at a lot slower tempo. The league took some heat for so many flags in early primetime games, and it was noticeable that they tried to tone things down a little from that point. Even with the early flagfest, Torbert’s crews only averaged 9.7 accepted penalties per game on the season, including the playoffs. They’re going to let them play in this contest, so we’re going to go with the late season quietness and take the under.
Will there be a roughing the passer penalty in the game?
YES (+105) / NO (-130)
Although we’re expecting a quiet game from the officials, there is definitely some marginal value with the +105 yes for a roughing the passer penalty. First, let’s look at our quarterbacks: It’s a joke around the league that these guys get a call when someone breathes on them wrong. Let’s just say it’s a joke for a reason. Add in the fact that both defenses are pretty aggressive in nature and the recipe is right for a late hit on one of the quarterbacks. We’ll take a shot with the plus money on this one.
Television Commercials
Which commercial will air first during the broadcast?
QUICKBOOKS (Intuit (-145) / Taco Bell (+115)
Taco Bell is jumping into the Super Bowl for the first time and are enlisting Doja Cat as their celebrity face for their 30 second spot. This is scheduled to be aired in the fourth quarter of the game. Quickbooks is also set to air in the fourth quarter so this one seems like it will be tight. With these basically a coin flip, if you’re betting this you’d probably want to take your chances and run for the border.
Which commercial will air first during the broadcast?
RAKUTEN (-125) / WEATHERTECH (-105)
A couple of returning Super Bowl companies that have invested heavily to keep their brands going. Early indicators have Rakuten with a first quarter projected ad, while WeatherTech is slated for a second quarter appearance. That’s enough for us to place the maximum wager on this bet at just -125.
How many commercials will run during the Super Bowl?
OVER 90.5 (-110) / UNDER 90.5 (-110)
Another way to position this bet is how much scoring and how many injuries do you think are going to happen in the game? There tends to be more stoppages in big games and in a game that has an over/under sitting around 56.5 total points they’re expecting a lot of scoring. There are 75 scheduled commercial spots for the game meaning you’d need 16 more for the over here. Will there be a combination of 16 scores, injuries, challenges, and other stoppages to push this over? Due to the heavy money invested, they have these spots pretty well locked in. We’d lean toward the under on this one.
Halftime Show / End of Game
Will Snoop Dogg smoke on stage?
YES (+110) / NO (-135)
We get it, Snoop’s entire persona tends to revolve around smoking things, and it’s certainly not impossible that he’d have something in his mouth while he’s on stage. The NFL is really branching out when you think about how far they’ve come since the “controversial” Justin Timberlake and Janet Jackson performance. One has to believe that the NFL worked something out to make this a tame effort at a gangster rap concert, and something had to be discussed regarding this. Could Snoop go rogue, sure, but we’ll assume he can put away the chronic for a few minutes and focus on the lyrics instead. That’s not a bad price in this case to take the no.
How many songs will be played during the halftime show ?
OVER 9.5 (-145) / UNDER 9.5 (+115)
As halftime shows have grown in spectrum over the past decade, the theatrics, performers and length have all increased. Between these five, there are at least a dozen really well known songs. This doesn’t include any potential guest appearances. Even though there’s a time limit, we’ll take the over here with the extra juice.
Will Katy Perry be on stage at the halftime show?
YES (+240) / NO (-380)
Katy Perry has a famous duet with Snoop Dogg in the song California Girls, which would certainly fit the theme of the West Coast halftime. However, Perry was recently a headliner of the show and it seems unlikely that she’d be back again for this particular cameo. With so many artists and so little time, we’ll pass on this as it’s probably just a leaked publicity stunt.
Will Ice Cube be on stage at the halftime show?
YES (+300) / NO (-500)
Plus 300 for Ice Cube to get in on the Pepsi Halftime show with Dr. Dre and Snoop Dogg? Count us in with those kind of odds. A pioneer and longtime friend with Dr. Dre from their days in N.W.A., Ice Cube is about the only artist that screams “west coast” as much as Dre and Snoop. He recently performed in L.A. at the Nascar exhibition race and he rocked that crowd with some of his favorites. We won’t be shocked at all if Cube makes an appearance on stage.
What color will will the liquid poured on the winning coach be?
LIME GREEN/YELLOW (+350) / ORANGE (+135) / RED (+165) / BLUE (+325) / CLEAR OR WATER (+350) / PURPLE (+1200)
A season ago, the blue gatorade pulled an upset with long odds, which have moved them all the way up ahead of Lime and Yellow this season. The Rams of course are blue and yellow so each of those seem like possibilities. The most logical bet here, even with the smallest odds is to take orange as it’s still the most popular Gatorade in Super Bowl history. You also get a double-bonus with the Bengals colors being orange. We’ll take that bet.
Game Props
Will there be a safety in the game?
YES (+600) / NO (-1400)
This is a really trendy bet if you follow prop betting and if you like rolling the dice with some unlikely winners, taking the yes here makes a lot of sense. Four out of the past seven Super Bowls have had a safety take place. Read that again… At +600, with that track record, it might be worth a small ticket.
Will the opening kickoff result in a touchback?
YES (-140) / NO (+125)
These odds have shrunk tremendously over the past few years and have even gotten bet down already since this year’s prop bets were released. You can still get plus money by taking no and we’d advise you to go ahead and do that. Kickoff returners and players are so amped up to be on the stage that they can’t help themselves but to return a kick, even if it’s in the endzone. The statistics are mind-boggling as the kickoff has been returned in 20 of the last 26 Super Bowls. Throw in the fact that Ram’s kicker Matt Gay doesn’t have the strongest leg, and the Bengals often directionally kick and this seems like the statistics will win out.
What will the first play of the game be?
RUSH PLAY (-140) / PASS PLAY (+105)
If you happened to catch our game breakdown, we expect a lot of each team feeling each other out early in this football game. That would include a likely handoff to get things started from either of these coaches. Last year, there was value in Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes throwing on the first play of the game, this year we’re going more conservative and expecting a run.
Who will be shown first on the broadcast during the anthem?
COOPER KUPP (-150) / JA’MARR CHASE (+115)
This is juiced for a reason, and the reason is that Cooper Kupp is going to be shown before Ja’Marr Chase during the National Anthem. While Chase is a possible rookie of the year, he’s not necessarily a “known” face yet around the world. While that could change after the Super Bowl, for now, the league will focus on getting a shot of Kupp early in the anthem, and Chase will appear later most likely.
Will the Rams score on their first possession of the game?
YES (-120) / NO (+105)
See above for our projected first play of the game narrative. We’ve also got the first quarter under locked in, so we’re going to have to stick with our method and go with a no for a first possession score for. That would hold true for the Bengals as well, who are not currently on the board.
What will the longest touchdown of the game be?
OVER 46.5 YARDS (-110) / UNDER 46.5 YARDS (EVEN)
Both of these teams have relied a lot on big and explosive plays all season as we’ve seen guys like Cooper Kupp, Ja’Marr Chase and others making highlight catches and runs with regularity. As crazy as it sounds, if we had to bet this, we’d take the under as this game seems like it will be more of a slugfest to us than a shootout. With speed like these teams have, there could certainly be some fireworks, we’ll take the even money here though.
What will the highest scoring quarter of the game be?
FIRST (+600) / SECOND (-250) / THIRD (+425) / FOURTH (+210)
The second quarter is the most obvious pick in nearly any game, but were going off the board a bit here and like the +210 odds for the fourth quarter. Often times the Super Bowl starts out a little slow as nerves and a feeling out process dominate the first half. There could be some big second half fireworks in the second half and with the heavy odds we like it.
Will there be a two-point conversion attempt in the game?
YES (+145) / NO (-160)
If you’re looking for a good value prop that has a very good chance of happening look no further than taking the yes on the two-point conversion proposition. The stakes are high and points are needed so you can plan to see a two-point try and with the +145 odds there is a lot to like here.
How many players will attempt a pass in the game?
OVER 2.5 (+125) / UNDER 2.5 (-160)
Joe Burrow and Matthew Stafford are obviously attempting a pass in the football game. Essentially, what you’re wagering on here is will any other player possibly make a throw at some point during the contest? The under is normally the play, however we’re going the opposite direction and taking the over here. Both teams of course have extra prep time so there could be a wrinkle in the game somewhere along the way. We’ve seen all three Rams starting receivers throw a pass this season and both teams run plays off of jet sweep tosses. The Rams also run more fake punts than any team in the league with punter Johhny Hekker, and of course even a brief injury to either quarterback would push this to the over category. Here’s hoping we see a halfback pass!
Will there be a score in the final 3/12 minutes of the game?
YES (-180) / NO (+160)
This one is pretty close to a slam dunk that there will be some sort of score in the final 3 1/2 minutes. This has held true in 7 of the last 9 Super Bowls and unless the game is a blowout it’s very likely someone will put some points up at the end. With a spread of around 4.5 points, this game should be pretty close and there will be a late score.
Player Props
Who will be the Super Bowl LVI Most Valuable Player?
We all know that quarterbacks are the most popular play with MVPs so depending on which team you like to win, Matthew Stafford and Joe Burrow are pretty obvious plays. In reality, if you have a strong feeling on the winner of the game, you can get better odds betting Stafford or Burrow and if their team wins you’re probably winning more. From that point you really want to look at tiers of players. Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp is the next most likely candidate at +600 as he is capable of having double-digit catches and scoring more than once in the game. The other receivers would seem to be the next in line, if one happened to secure all of the touchdowns and targets throughout the game. Both of these QBs spread the ball around a lot though so it’s tough to really imagine that happening. This is certainly one Super Bowl where the unlikely occasion of a defensive player winning the award is a possibility. The Rams have three absolute recognizable stars in Aaron Donald, Von Miller and Jalen Ramsey, so if any of them end up with a multi-sack, interception or touchdown performance in a low-scoring game anything is possible. If you want a longer shot lottery ticket, players to target would be Tyler Boyd, Tyler Higbee or Jessie Bates III.
Who will be the first touchdown scorer in the game? Who will score one touchdown in the game?
This is always a fun one and there are some really good odds for a lot of the marquee players in the game. If you want to throw some long odds out there you can consider Tyler Boyd again at +1800 as he could be a safety target for Joe Burrow. Speaking of Burrow, he’s not afraid to tuck and run in the red zone, and at +3000 as the first TD scorer, there are worst ways to spend a bet.
Who will be an “anytime” touchdown scorer in the game?
No one really jumps out as having great value in terms of being an anytime touchdown scorer. We keep coming back to Tyler Boyd, but there isn’t enough value for us to play him in this game. At basically even juice, Rams running back Cam Akers seems like a decent play here, and Odell Beckham, Jr. is a solid option at +120. He’s been a consistent TD scorer for the Rams since joining the team. Don’t overlook that Joe Burrow rushing touchdown again, either.
Total passing attempts for Matthew Stafford?
OVER 37.5 (EVEN) / UNDER 37.5 (-120)
We could be way off-base here, and Stafford got the better of us in the Conference Championship, but we’re going to take the under here. Unless the Rams get down early, or this winds up being an unpredictable shootout, which we don’t think is going to happen, the Rams are going to try to run. Until we see the game script, it’s tough to bet this with too much conviction, but we’re definitely leaning towards the under.
Total interceptions for Joe Burrow?
OVER .5 (-140) / UNDER .5 (-105)
Joe Burrow has been really good all season and in the playoffs as he’s provided the magic to get the Bengals this far. That being said, he has had his share of questionable passes and turnovers, including two a week ago. Against a fierce pass rush and a guy like Jalen Ramsey, it’s tough to imagine Burrow playing a fully clean game, even if the Bengals can pull off the upset. Chances are something will get picked off along the way.
Total yards on first completed pass for Matthew Stafford?
OVER 7.5 (-115) / UNDER 7.5 (-115)
Throughout his career Matthew Stafford has never been afraid to throw the ball downfield, and that is certainly the case with the Rams as well. The threat of a checkdown pass is always in play, however we’re expecting Sean McVay has something nice scripted early on, possibly off of play-action. With guys like Cupp, OBJ and Van Jefferson, and an athletic receiving and running tight end like Tyler Higbee, unless his first pass ends up as one of those checkdowns, it should go for 8 yards or more.
Total successful field goals for Evan McPherson in the first half?
OVER .5 (-135) / UNDER.5 (+105)
Evan McPherson has earned the nickname “Money Mac” in his rookie season. The former Florida Gator kicker has justified his fifth round draft selection and been a huge weapon for the Bengals throughout the regular season and the playoffs. He’s got a huge leg, and flat out doesn’t miss. Laying out a -135 isn’t ideal, however this one just seems too easy. He’ll find his way to a field goal somewhere along the way in the first half.
Team to make the longest field goal in the game?
RAMS (-115) / BENGALS (-115)
We mentioned in our touchback prop above that Matt Gay doesn’t have the strongest leg in the world. He does have a 55 yard field goal to his credit this season, but in the last six weeks of the season and playoffs his longest kick was just 48 yards. McPherson on the other hand hit 50 yarders with regularity, and has the full trust of the coaching staff. This is obviously impacted by opportunities, but with each kicker having the same odds, give us the Bengals all day long with this prop bet.
Total rushing yards for Cam Akers
OVER 63.5 (-120) / Under 63.5 (-110)
The Cincinnati Bengals really improved their rushing defense this season and have played pretty well overall during their playoff run. Cam Akers total opened around 59.5 yards and has steadily climbed. Even with missing out on those 4 yards of value, this seems like a good play if you can get anything over 65 yards. Sean McVay is likely to be somewhat conservative in this football game, and we’re expecting some heavy doses of Akers in the backfield. Even with Darrell Henderson returning from injury and an effective Sony Michel, McVay tends to go with more of a one-back philosophy, rather than a time share in the game. After coming back from injuries, Akers has re-established himself as the lead back, and he’s gotten a lot of work. Although his numbers weren’t overly amazing, take into consideration he was going up against the Buccaneers and the 49ers, two of the best rush defending units in the league. Unless the Rams are playing from a big deficit, Akers should approach 15-20 carries in this game. If he can average around 4 yards per carry, he should find his way over this mark.
Total rushing yards for Ja’Marr Chase
OVER 2.5 (-130) / UNDER 2.5 (EVEN)
The Cincinnati Bengals are going to do everything they can to get the ball into the hands of the explosive Ja’Marr Chase. In a game where the Rams may elect to bracket double cover him, or lock Jalen Ramsey on him, Cincinnati will need to get creative. Expect at least one handoff if not more as Chase will get a couple of sweep opportunities. At just 2.5 yards, he just needs to turn one up the sideline for a few yards for this to hit. Chances are, he will.
Total Receiving Yards for Tyler Boyd
OVER 38.5 yards (-115) / Under 38.5 yards (-115)
You’ve heard us mention his name a couple of times already, and we’re expecting a solid performance for the most tenured member of the Bengals wide receiving corp. Boyd is a nice security target for Joe Burrow, and it’s still unknown how healthy tight end C.J. Uzomah may be for this game. While Tee Higgins could see a lot of Jalen Ramsey, and Chase may get some double teams, it will be up to Boyd to win his matchups in the slot. He has definitely been a forgotten man at times in this offense, however we are expecting him to get over his receiving yardage Sunday.
What We’re Betting Our Money On:
We’ll be adding to this list prior to the game so don’t forget to check back as several prop odds have not yet been posted. To get started here are some that we’ve got locked in:
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