One of the most increasingly popular betting options for both sharp bettors and amateur players are Super Bowl proposition bets. Over the last decade these bets have ballooned to well over 300 potential bets at many of the biggest sportsbooks, and over thousands if you want to dig far enough if 300 isn’t enough to find some wagers that you like. Many professional bettors line up hours before the bets are up to lock in their favorite plays in an effort to gain a slight advantage. For the rest of the world, these bets provide some added excitement for the already most watched event of the year. There is a common belief in the sports betting community that Super Bowl proposition bets are sucker plays that will steal your money, but there’s nothing wrong with doing a little research and playing responsibly for a little bit of fun. In some cases, they’re strictly games of chance, such as a heads or tails selection of the coin flip, but in other cases, you can absolutely do your homework to find some value with player and game totals. When in doubt, you’ll want to lean towards unders as a rule, however, pick and choose the fun props that you like.
Super Bowl LV Prop Bet Preview:
We spent quite a bit of time looking through the extensive lists of plays and there are some really fun ones out there. We’ve got things broken down into two basic categories in this article: The first list showcases some of the more popular bets and some that we feel have a good chance of hitting. Part of the reason we don’t play several of these are the heavy juice (poor odds) that come with some things that appear to be “sure wins”. At the bottom are ones that we’re definitively locking in, or in simple terms, the wagers we think are most likely to win.
Props listed via Bovada Sportbook
Popular and Interesting Prop Bets
National Anthem
How long will it take Jazmine Sullivan and Eric Church to sing the national anthem?
OVER 1:59 MINUTES (+105) / UNDER 1:59 MINUTES (-145)
With a duet it’s kind of hard to know exactly how this national anthem is going to play out. The average national anthem over the last two decades has lasted 1:56 seconds so you’d think the under would be the play giving you a few seconds of cushion. We’re going the opposite direction though as it seems like having two people will add at least a bit to the overall duration.
Will the microphones for both singers be on a microphone stand?
YES (-170) / NO (+140)
Ten of the last eleven Super Bowl national anthem singers have had their microphones on a stand so the -170 juice makes sense. This might be a shot for that pattern to change here though, again as there are multiple singers here. It’s possible that to “vibe” together they might need the flexibility to move around and perhaps simply hold their microphone. With that being said, we would need a lot better odds than +140 to try to buck this trend so this will be a pass for us.
Coin Toss
What will the result of the coin toss be?
HEADS (-105) / TAILS (-105)
There is obviously no true skill here as this is a true 50-50 proposition. The juice is low so a small fun play here isn’t the worst thing in the world, it’s kinda like playing roulette at the casino. In the history of the Super Bowl it’s pretty close with tails hitting 29 times and heads 25 times. We’re going to go with our 7 year old BetCrusher handicapper Bradley who is voting for heads.
Which team will win the coin toss?
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-105) / KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-105)
Again, good odds and no strategy here, just some good old fashioned gambling fun that anyone can understand. Let’s say, the “road team” Chiefs, anticipating a correct call for a some fun.
Officiating
What will the longest accepted penalty be in the game?
OVER 15.5 Yards (-270) / UNDER 15.5 Yards (+180)
Amazingly, two years ago in year’s Super Bowl the juice was even for this penalty and of course went over with a pass interference call. In simple terms, this bet is basically whether or not there will be a pass interference call greater than 15 yards in the game. The way these two teams throw the ball, and their aggressive, yet suspect defensive backs play, this one sure seems like it’ll go over. With the juice at -270, there’s not nearly enough value to wager on this bet.
What will the outcome of the first coach’s challenge be?
CALL STANDS (-110) / OVERTURNED (-130)
Teams have gotten much better at knowing when to throw the challenge flag which has resulted in a higher percentage of overturned calls (pass interference not included). However, the league still prefers to not overturn coach’s challenges unless their obvious. The deciding factor in this bet is Chiefs coach Andy Reid who has one of the poorest challenge records in the history of the league. We’d lean towards a “call stands” bet in this one.
How many penalties will be accepted in the game?
OVER 10.5 (-120) / UNDER 10.5 (-110)
Penalties are down across the board in the NFL this season as the league loosened up some some of the excruciating holding calls in particular. This Super Bowl Carl Cheffers is heading things up as the official in a season where his games averaged just at 11 penalties per game. With the magnitude of the Super Bowl we’re going to take the under in this one as we expect a fairly clean game for both teams.
Will there be a roughing the passer penalty in the game?
YES (+135) / NO (-165)
Although we’re expecting a quiet game from the officials, there is definitely some value with the +135 yes for a roughing the passer penalty. First, let’s look at our quarterbacks: It’s a joke around the league that these guys get a call when someone breathes on them wrong. Let’s just say it’s a joke for a reason. Add in the fact that both defenses are pretty aggressive in nature and the recipe is right for a late hit on one of the golden QBs. We’ll take a shot with the plus money on this one.
Television Commercials
Which commercial will air first during the broadcast?
TOSTITOS (-125) / M&M’s (+135)
Tostitos has been a mainstay in the Super Bowl arena as well as football in general. After all, most Super Bowl parties will have some chips spread out somewhere in the kitchen. M&M’s is an underdog to air their commercial first, however word is their spot could air in the first commercial break. Take the +135 and hope Tostitos doesn’t have the opening commercial spot.
Which commercial will air first during the broadcast?
VROOM (-110) / TOYOTA (-120)
VROOM is a newbie to the Super Bowl and really the car market in general. They’re shelling out some big bucks to compete with the big market brands and are a slight underdog as to whether or not their spot will air before or after Toyota. It’s obviously a bit of a toss up, but with the vast difference in marketing budgets and the track record of Toyota, it’s likely the Japanese automaker would have the first running commercial between these two. At just -120 this seems like a pretty strong play.
How many commercials will run during the Super Bowl?
OVER 90.5 (-110) / UNDER 90.5 (-110)
Another way to position this bet is how much scoring and how many injuries do you think are going to happen in the game? There tends to be more stoppages in big games and in a game that has an over/under sitting around 56.5 total points they’re expecting a lot of scoring. There are 75 scheduled commercial spots for the game meaning you’d need 16 more for the over here. Will there be a combination of 16 scores, injuries, challenges, and other stoppages to push this over? Due to the heavy money invested, they have these spots pretty well locked in. We’d lean toward the under on this one.
Halftime Show / End of Game
How many wardrobe changes for The Weekend?
OVER .5 (-400) / UNDER .5 (+250)
You could make the case with the Weekend being male that he might not change wardrobes during his performance. That could especially be the case if he’s performing in any kind of inclement weather. However, at just .5 changes, he’s very likely to swap out at least once. There’s no value really either way so we’re steering clear here.
How many songs will be played during the halftime show ?
OVER 8 (-200) / UNDER 8 (+150)
As halftime shows have grown in spectrum over the past decade, the theatrics, performers and length have all increased. It remains to be seen who will join The Weekend on stage, but 8 seems like a lot of songs? The Weekend has 5 fairly well known songs that will probably be played, but would there be 3 or 4 more with other artists? It’s certainly possible, but at +150 we’re taking the under on this one.
Will Ariana Grande be on stage at the halftime show?
YES (+240) / NO (-380)
Ariana Grande is the favorite to join The Weekend on stage, but it’s still a bit of a longshot. The two have performed before and one of the above mentioned 5 songs that will likely be played features Grande. Normally, news like this is leaked however, and it’s been quiet in terms of a collaboration here. There would need to be a little higher payout possibility for us to take a stab at this one.
Will Kenny G be on stage at the halftime show?
YES (+300) / NO (-500)
As far as some higher payout, how about 3 to 1 with musician Kenny G taking the stage? The league generally tries to appeal to multiple demographics, and Kenny G might pull in some who aren’t too keen on The Weekend. With their previous performance together, this one seems like it could absolutely be possible if you wanted to take a shot.
What color will will the liquid poured on the winning coach be?
LIME GREEN/YELLOW (+330) / ORANGE (+165) / RED (+165) / BLUE (+600) / CLEAR OR WATER (+450) / PURPLE (+850)
With the gatorade bet it’s best to work backwards and eliminate what you feel won’t be in the bucket. Purple and blue are all highly unlikely if you’ve watched these over the years. That brings us to the green/yellow, the clear/water and orange. The Chiefs could have red gatorade as that is of course their team color. Although they poured orange a year ago. We’re going all in on the orange gatorade shower for this Super Bowl.
Game Props
Will there be a safety in the game?
YES (+700) / NO (-1600)
This is a really trendy bet if you follow prop betting and if you like rolling the dice with some unlikely winners, taking the yes here makes a lot of sense. Four out of the past six Super Bowls have had a safety take place. Read that again… At +700, with that track record, it might be worth a small ticket.
What will the first play of the game be?
RUSH PLAY (-140) / PASS PLAY (+105)
In the NFC Championship game the Bucs’ ran a lot on first down and to start the game. Against the Chiefs mediocre run defense it’s certainly possible they’ll start conservative with a run if they get the ball. In fact, the Bucs opened up with a run in the last 14 games they played! The Chiefs are less likely to just line up and run it to start the game so this could come down to who gets the ball first. At even money (it’s actually plus money on some sites), we’re taking a small swing at the game opening with a passing play from these two star quarterbacks.
Who will be shown first on the broadcast during the anthem?
TRAVIS KELCE (-140) / ROB GRONKOWSKI (+110)
Both tight ends should be shown during the national anthem, probably after we’ve seen the quarterbacks and coaches. While Gronk is a legend, Travis Kelce has more sizzle at this point in their careers. The juice is fairly low in our opinion so we’re going to lay the -140 and look for Kelce early in the anthem with Gronkowski to make an appearance after.
Will the Chiefs score on their first possession of the game?
YES (-130) / NO (-105)
The Kansas City Chiefs are the most explosive offense in the league, period. They can seemingly score whenever they need to. They’ve gotten off to some slower starts of late though having punted on their first possession in 5 of their last 8 games. Even though the stage isn’t too bright for them, they may not hit the big play or have their rhythm at the very beginning of the game. We’re going to say no on this prop bet.
What will the longest touchdown of the game be?
OVER 46.5 YARDS (-110) / UNDER 46.5 YARDS (EVEN)
Will there be a big play in this year’s Super Bowl? With guys like Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman and Mike Evans on the field as well as some aggressive defenses we certainly think so. Both teams have either attained or allowed the over in more games than not this season so let’s roll the dice with the yes on a long touchdown.
What will the highest scoring quarter of the game be?
FIRST (+600) / SECOND (-250) / THIRD (+425) / FOURTH (+210)
The second quarter is the most obvious pick in nearly any game, but were going off the board a bit here and like the +425 odds for the third quarter. Often times the Super Bowl starts out a little slow as nerves and a feeling out process dominate the first half. Tampa has been a big third quarter scoring team overall, so if somehow the score can stay down in the second quarter even a bit there is value in taking the third quarter. There could be some big second half fireworks in the third quarter and with the heavy odds we like it.
Will there be a two-point conversion attempt in the game?
YES (+145) / NO (-160)
If you’re looking for a good value prop that has a very good chance of happening look no further than taking the yes on the two-point conversion proposition. The stakes are high and points are needed so you can plan to see a two-point try and with the +145 odds there is a lot to like here.
Will there be a score in the final 3/12 minutes of the game?
YES (-180) / NO (+160)
This one is pretty close to a slam dunk that there will be some sort of score in the final 3 1/2 minutes. This has held true in 7 of the last 8 Super Bowls and unless the game is a blowout it’s very likely someone will put some points up at the end. With a spread of just over a point, this game should be pretty close and there will be a late score.
Player Props
Who will be the Super Bowl LIV Most Valuable Player?
We all know that quarterbacks are the most popular play with MVPs so depending on which team you like to win, Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady are pretty obvious plays. From that point you really want to look at tiers of players. Tight end Travis Kelce could have some value and it doesn’t hurt that he’s a popular player in the league. The wide receivers would seem to be the next in line, if one happened to secure all of the touchdowns and targets throughout the game. Both of these QBs spread the ball around a lot though so it’s tough to really imagine that happening. There could be a defensive darkhorse if someone where to step up and make big game-turning plays, but you’re really just taking a shot in the dark there. Our philosophy here if you want to play it is to take the quarterback of the team you think is going to win the game despite the short odds.
Who will be the first touchdown scorer in the game?
This is always a fun one and there are some really good odds for a lot of the marquee players in the game. If you want to throw some long odds out there you can consider Cameron Brate at +2000 as he’s been a big red zone target down the stretch for Tom Brady.
Who will be an “anytime” touchdown scorer in the game?
There are a few plays here that we really like. The first is Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce at -165. The Chiefs like to spread it around, but they go to Kelce in big spots and in the red zone. The real question is, do you feel it’s worth it to lay -165 on Kelce even though he’s very likely to score. A somewhat surprising play could be Patrick Mahomes at +275. During the regular season he was not an active runner, however in the playoffs he’s been using his feet when needed. The value just isn’t there for us though at the +275. For the Buccaneers we really like Leonard Fournette who’s been on a tear recently and is getting plus money at 1.2 to 1 odds. The Chiefs were poor at stopping the run in the red zone so it’s a good bet that Fournette will have a chance to punch one in.
Total passing attempts for Patrick Mahomes?
Over 41.5 (-120) / Under 41.5 (EVEN)
The total set for Mahomes passing attempts is high, and is high for a reason. The Chiefs are unlikely to run much in this game, and points are certainly expected. With his offensive line banged up, Mahomes will need to rely on a lot of quick throws. Andy Reid won’t continue to try to establish the run if it’s not there so we’re expecting Mahomes to throw early and often in this game.
Total interceptions for Tom Brady?
Over .5 (-140) / Under .5 (-105)
Brady has been extremely clean in his Super Bowl appearances for the most part in terms of taking care of the football. As we saw in the NFC Championship game though and in his initial season in Tampa, that hasn’t really been the case this season. He should have a good game overall, but we’re going to say that somewhere along the way the Chiefs pick off a pass of the GOAT.
Total receptions for Chris Godwin (TB)
Over 5.5 (-115) / Under 5.5 (EVEN)
There are no shortage of weapons on the Tampa offense and Tom Brady likes to spread the ball around. Chris Godwin may not be the biggest star on the team, but he’s one of the most productive. The Chiefs have done well defending outside receivers this season, but have given up some catches in the slot. This bet may take the full game to hit the over so don’t expect a quick and simple cover, but Godwin should at least make it to six catches to get a push and we’d imagine a box score where he ends up with 7 to 8 grabs.
Total receiving yards for Travis Kelce (KC)
Over 96.5 (-125) / Under 96.5 (-105)
We’ve been riding the Travis Kelce gravy train for most of the stretch run of the NFL season and we aren’t going to jump off of it now. He probably could have led the league in receiving yards and has continued his great play in the playoffs. With KC probably not handing the ball off too much there will be plenty of opportunity for Kelce as always. Even with the Bucs paying close attention to him, he should claw his way to the century mark as he has routinely done all year.
Total field goals for Ryan Succop (TB)
Over 1.5 (-130) / Under 1.5 (-105)
In a game that has an over/under set at 56.5 getting two field goals seems almost too easy. That may not be the case for Ryan Succop and Tampa Bay though for a couple of reasons. He only kicked one in the first meeting between the teams. Head coach Bruce Arians knows he has to score points against this Chiefs team. He could certainly pass up some field goal opportunities in an effort to score touchdowns. Additionally, rain is in the forecast which is never something a kicker likes to see. And finally, the Chiefs have the worst red zone defense in the league in terms of allowing touchdowns, so when the Bucs get inside the 20, they have a good shot to punch it in for a touchdown. We’re taking the under.
Longest Reception for Tyreek Hill (KC)
Over 28.5 yards (-110) / Under 28.5 yards (-120)
For almost any other team and receiver in the league you’d want to go under, but we’re talking about one of the fast and most elusive receivers in the game and perhaps the top passing quarterback. At some point in the game Hill should get over the top or make some misses for a 30 yard gain.
What We’re Betting Our Money On:
We’ll be adding to this list prior to the game so don’t forget to check back as several prop odds have not yet been posted. To get started here are some that we’ve got locked in:
