One of the most increasingly popular betting options for both sharp bettors and amateur players are Super Bowl proposition bets. Over the last decade these bets have ballooned to well over 300 potential bets at many of the biggest sportsbooks, and over thousands if you want to dig far enough if 300 isn’t enough to find some wagers that you like. Many professional bettors line up hours before the bets are up to lock in their favorite plays in an effort to gain a slight advantage. For the rest of the world, these bets provide some added excitement for the already most watched event of the year. There is a common belief in the sports betting community that Super Bowl proposition bets are sucker plays that will steal your money, but there’s nothing wrong with doing a little research and playing responsibly for a little bit of fun. In some cases, they’re strictly games of chance, such as a heads or tails selection of the coin flip, but in other cases, you can absolutely do your homework to find some value with player and game totals. When in doubt, you’ll want to lean towards unders as a rule, however, pick and choose the fun props that you like.
Super Bowl LIV Prop Bet Preview:
We spent quite a bit of time looking through the extensive lists of plays and there are some really fun ones out there. We’ve got things broken down into two basic categories in this article: The first list showcases some of the more popular bets and some that we feel have a good chance of hitting. Part of the reason we don’t play several of these are the heavy juice (poor odds) that come with some things that appear to be “sure wins”. At the bottom are ones that we’re definitively locking in, or in simple terms, the wagers we think are most likely to win.
Props listed via Bovada Sportbooks
Popular and Interesting Prop Bets
National Anthem
How long will it take Demi Lovato to sing the national anthem?
OVER 2 MINUTES (-240) / UNDER 2 MINUTES (+165)
This bet opened at the pretty standard time of 1:48 and those who were able to grab the over early are sitting pretty. Demi Lovato has some recent history of singing anthems and her time has continued to increase, with her most recent rendition timing in at 2:06. We missed the window on the over and certainly won’t take the over at -240 odds. No bet for this one as research shows us over 2:00 is all but certain, but we’d roll the dice with the +165 and under if we were betting it.
Will Demi Lovato be wearing a skirt, dress or gown to sing the anthem?
YES (-180) / NO (+140)
Demi Lovato is known to have a pretty edgy style and a Google search shows a lot of different outfits including shorts, pants, etc. However, she’s recently been sporting more of a “dress” look as she’s a little heavier than she’s been in the past. Couple that with the honor of singing the anthem and it seems like yes is the play on this one.
Will Demi Lovato’s hair color be completely black for the anthem?
YES (-190) / NO (+145)
It’s rarely a great idea to place a wager with -190 odds, so we’ll again pass, but we’ve read that Demi Lovato likes her black hair so the likelihood of her adding a splash of color or changing prior to the big game are pretty slim. If you’re betting it though, yes certainly seems like the play.
Will the microphone for Demi Lovato be on a microphone stand?
YES (-170) / NO (+140)
At first glance, Demi Lovato has sung her three of her last four anthems without a microphone stand which would lead you to believe that taking the +140 odds would be a good play. However, nine of the last ten Super Bowl anthem singers have had a microphone stand so those odds seem to outweigh the history of Demi. Lay the -170 and plan for her to have her mic on the stand.
Coin Toss
What will the result of the coin toss be?
HEADS (-105) / TAILS (-105)
There is obviously no true skill here as this is a true 50-50 proposition. The juice is low so a small fun play here isn’t the worst thing in the world, it’s kinda like playing roulette at the casino. In the history of the Super Bowl it’s pretty close with tails hitting 28 times and heads 25 times. We’re going to go with our 6 year old BetCrusher handicapper Bradley who is voting for heads.
Which team will win the coin toss?
SAN FRANCISCO 49ers (-105) / KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-105)
Again, good odds and no strategy here, just some good old fashioned gambling fun that anyone can understand. We’re taking the “road team 49ers anticipating a correct call for a few fun.
Officiating
What will the longest accepted penalty be in the game?
OVER 15.5 Yards (-115) / UNDER 15.5 Yards (-115)
The last thing the NFL wants in a season marred with controversial and poor officiating is for the zebras to own the stage in their biggest game. The Chiefs are of course known for throwing the ball deep down the field and Richard Sherman is one of the smarter DBs we’ve seen who isn’t afraid to get a pass interference penalty to save a touchdown or huge play. In simple terms this bet is called will there be a long pass interference penalty in the game or not? We’re voting yes as there should be enough deep pass attempts that at some point some contact down the field will be called.
What will the outcome of the first coach’s challenge be?
CALL STANDS (-110) / OVERTURNED (-130)
Teams have gotten much better at knowing when to throw the challenge flag which has resulted in a higher percentage of overturned calls (pass interference not included). However, the league still prefers to not overturn coach’s challenges unless their obvious. The deciding factor in this bet is Chiefs coach Andy Reid who has one of the poorest challenge records in the history of the league. We’d lean towards a “call stands” bet in this one.
Which team will be the first to get a holding call?
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-110) / KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-125)
The difference in odds tells you what you need to know here, but there is actually more value with the Chiefs even at the -125 based on the statistics this season. The Chiefs had 42 accepted holding penalties in the regular season compared to only 29 for the 49ers so it’s a pretty high discrepancy for such a slight difference in the odds. Throw in the fact that the 49ers have a pretty relentless defensive line and it seems as though the Chiefs will get caught with offensive holding before their counterparts.
Television Commercials
Which commercial will air first during the broadcast?
POP TARTS (+165) / DORITOS (-240)
Pop Tarts are making their Super Bowl commercial debut and it’s been rumored that their spot will play after the two minute warning of the first half of the game. History has told us that Doritos will be a key player early in the game so lay the -240 if you want to bet this and you should have a winner.
Which commercial will air first during the broadcast?
MOUNTAIN DEW (-120) / TOYOTA (-120)
Snack heavy commercials are traditionally early in the game as people are busy with their Super Bowl dining. Toyota is running a commercial featuring the Highlander but it doesn’t look as though it will be in the first quarter. This one is truly a toss-up yet it seems as though Mountain Dew would be the play.
Which commercial will air first during the broadcast?
DONALD TRUMP AD (-330) / MICHAEL BLOOMBERG AD (+215)
It can be gut-wrenching to place a wager with -330 odds. In this case, a $100 wager will get you about a $30 profit win. However, this has basically already been determined and planned out. A Wall Street Journal article mentioned how Donald Trump’s ad airs first and Michael Bloomberg’s is after halftime. It’s certainly possible something could change, but this is basically like placing a bet where we already know the outcome. If you’re ever going to bet sometime at -330 this is a time to do it.
How many commercials will run during the Super Bowl?
OVER 92.5 (-110) / UNDER 92.5 (-110)
Another way to position this bet is how much scoring and how many injuries do you think are going to happen in the game? There tends to be more stoppages in big games and in a game that has an over/under sitting around 54 total points they’re expecting a lot of scoring. There are 77 scheduled commercial spots for the game meaning you’d need 16 more for the over here. Will there be a combination of 16 scores, injuries, challenges, and other stoppages to push this over? Due to the heavy money invested, they have these spots pretty well locked in. We’d lean toward the under on this one.
Halftime Show / End of Game
How many wardrobe changes for Jennifer Lopez?
OVER 2.5 (-150) / UNDER 2.5 (+110)
There aren’t many entertainers that are more “extra” than J-Lo and you can imagine that with a probability of four songs that Jennifer Lopez would have a different outfit for each performance. The odds aren’t too terrible if you take the over 2.5.
Will DJ Khaled make an appearance at the halftime show?
YES (+175) / NO (-260)
Betting something like this is a shot in the dark unless you’re part of the production crew which we are not. It’s not very likely that DJ Khaled would make an appearance however if you like taking some longshots this would be one to do. He is “Miami” and originally was rumored to possibly be part of the entertainment. If you want to take a flyer, this is one to take a chance with at a solid +175 pay day.
What color will will the liquid poured on the winning coach be?
LIME GREEN/YELLOW (+250) / ORANGE (+550) / RED (+130) / BLUE (+600) / CLEAR OR WATER (+450) / PURPLE (+850)
With the gatorade bet it’s best to work backwards and eliminate what you feel won’t be in the bucket. Purple, blue and red are all highly unlikely if you’ve watched these over the years. That brings us to the green/yellow, the clear/water and orange. Surprisingly orange has been a pretty popular shower and at +550 if we were betting this (we’re not), orange would be our pick.
Game Props
Will there be a safety in the game?
YES (+600) / NO (-750)
This is a really trendy bet if you follow prop betting and if you like rolling the dice with some unlikely winners, taking the yes here makes a lot of sense. Four out of the past five Super Bowls have had a safety take place. Read that again… At +600, with that track record, it might be worth a small ticket.
What will the highest scoring quarter of the game be?
FIRST (+600) / SECOND (-250) / THIRD (+425) / FOURTH (+210)
The second quarter is the most obvious pick in nearly any game, but were going off the board a bit here and like the +425 odds for the third quarter. Often times the Super Bowl starts out a little slow as nerves and a feeling out process dominate the first half. There could be some big second half fireworks in the third quarter and with the heavy odds we like it.
Will there be a two-point conversion attempt in the game?
YES (+140) / NO (-160)
If you’re looking for a good value prop that has a very good chance of happening look no further than taking the yes on the two-point conversion proposition. The stakes are high and points are needed so you can plan to see a two-point try and with the +140 odds there is a lot to like here.
Will there be a score in the final 3/12 minutes of the game?
YES (-180) / NO (+160)
This one is pretty close to a slam dunk that there will be some sort of score in the final 3 1/2 minutes. This has held true in 7 of the last 8 Super Bowls and unless the game is a blowout it’s very likely someone will put some points up at the end. With a spread of just over a point, this game should be pretty close and there will be a late score.
Player Props
Who will be the Super Bowl LIV Most Valuable Player?
We all know that quarterbacks are the most popular play with MVPs so depending on which team you like to win, Patrick Mahomes and Jimmy Garroppolo are pretty obvious plays. From that point you really want to look at tiers of players. Tight ends George Kittle and Travis Kelce could each have some value and it doesn’t hurt that they’re somewhat of league media darlings. If you prefer to go for some long odds and big payoffs Nick Bosa at +2200 could really be an option if the Niners can come away with a win and he’s able to register some sacks. The true long shot would be Chiefs new addition Terrell Suggs at a ridiculous +25000 odds for the same reason as Nick Bosa. He made some plays in the AFC Championship game and will see quite a bit of action in the Super Bowl. It’s a true gamble, but for those odds, why not a few bucks?
Who will be the first touchdown scorer in the game?
This is always a fun one and there are some really good odds for a lot of the marquee players in the game. We like taking a chance at +1800 with San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Kendrick Bourne who has been the first touchdown scorer a surprising three times for the Niners this season.
Who will be an “anytime” touchdown scorer in the game?
There are a few plays here that we really like. The first is Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce at -150. The Chiefs like to spread it around, but they go to Kelce in big spots and in the red zone. A somewhat surprising play could be Patrick Mahomes at +400. During the regular season he was not an active runner, however in the playoffs he’s been using his feet when needed. For the Niners we really like rookie Deebo Samuel at +140 and George Kittle for even money.
Total passing yards for Patrick Mahomes?
Over 307.5 Yards (-140) / Under 307.5 (+110)
If you followed us during the regular season you know that anytime the Patrick Mahomes over is around the 300 yard mark we’re taking it. The Super Bowl will be no exception as most are expecting a high scoring affair. The 49ers have a great defense, but they did allow five different 300 yard passers during the season so they certainly aren’t flawless. The juice is a little steep so you may not want to bet this one, but we’re gonna back Mahomes and live with whatever outcome we get.
Total interceptions for Patrick Mahomes?
Over .5 (-125) / Under .5 (-105)
We’ll admit that it can be scary going against the 49ers pass rush and Richard Sherman on the corner, but Patrick Mahomes was one of the most accurate quarterbacks all season long. Footballs can bounce funny and things can happen so taking an interception under comes with risk, but at -105 it’s hard to argue with Mahomes. It’s kind of like teams relying on their best players in big games, we do the same with our wagers.
Total rushing yards for Jimmy Garroppolo?
Over 4.5 Yards (-125) / Under 4.5 (+105)
No one is going to mistake Jimmy Garroppolo for a dual-threat quarterback, but on the rare occasion he needs to take off, he can pick up yards. In the biggest game of his career you can bet he’s willing to tuck and run if he needs to in order to pick up a first down. Needing just five yards, he should manage to go over this due to the circumstances and magnitude of the game.
Total receptions for George Kittle (SF)
Over 6 (-115) / Under 6 (+110)
It can be difficult to know which players will shine week to week for Kyle Shanahan’s team, but coming off of a game where he was basically asked to block and only catching one pass, we should see a lot of George Kittle on Super Bowl Sunday. The Chiefs have not done a great job covering opposing tight ends and Kittle is the best in the league, unless you prefer the tight end in Kansas City. This bet will take the full game to hit the over so don’t expect a quick and simple cover, but Kittle should at least make it to six catches to get a push and we’d imagine a box score where he ends up with 7 to 8 grabs.
Total receptions for Travis Kelce (KC)
Over 6 (-130) / Under 6 (+105)
We’ve been riding the Travis Kelce gravy train for most of the stretch run of the NFL season and we aren’t going to jump off of it now. He’s been beating his catch totals in the first half and in the biggest spotlight Mahomes will be looking his way often. With the pass rush of the 49ers potentially limiting some of the deep field throws, Kelce becomes even more of a target on the short to intermediate routes.
Longest Reception for Tyreek Hill (KC)
Over 28.5 yards (-110) / Under 28.5 yards (-120)
For almost any other team and receiver in the league you’d want to go under, but we’re talking about one of the fast and most elusive receivers in the game and perhaps the top passing quarterback. At some point in the game Hill should get over the top or make some misses for a 30 yard gain.
What We’re Betting Our Money On:
We’ll be adding to this list prior to the game so don’t forget to check back as several prop odds have not yet been posted. To get started here are some that we’ve got locked in:
