PREVIOUS WEEK RESULTS:
4-4

SEASON RESULTS:
44-41

Week 13 Recap:

The decision to roll with a heavier card of 8 prop bets ended up being a whole lot of nothing as we ended up at 4-4 doing nothing but chopping up a bit of juice. We’ll give the quick recap of what should have been at minimum a 5-3 week based on making the correct calls, however as we all know, it doesn’t always work out that way.

Week 13 Recap:

The Good:
Baker Mayfield struggled as we suspected throwing the football against a tough Pittsburgh defense as that under was solid the whole way. It was close, but Le’Veon Bell grabbed his fourth catch in the 4th quarter as the Jets were in comeback mode against the Bengals helping him eclipse his reception total. Philip Rivers also stayed under his yardage total as he couldn’t get much going for a good chunk of the game. He did have some yards late in the game that made us sweat it out a bit but staying out of overtime helped seal the deal. The easiest win was the Carlos Hyde yardage under as he couldn’t get anything going and ultimately lost most of the snaps and touches to teammate Duke Johnson.

The Bad:
The worst beat was the Tom Brady under that we were one, even though we admitted it was playing with fire. Brady did absolutely nothing for nearly the first three quarters of the game, but being down by three scores the Texans went ultra-conservative on defense which allowed Brady to rack up nearly 200 yards in the fourth quarter which doomed the under. Classic example of being on the right side, yet having the game flow derail what should have been a win. We also though Mike Evans would have a monster game, but it never really happened as the Bucs were up early and ran the ball more than anticipated thanks to a strong performance by their defense. Christian McCaffrey had his least productive game of the season despite what looked like a really nice matchup and fell about 15 yards short of his scrimmage total. And in a little bit of a head scratcher, LeSean McCoy only got 5 carries despite the fact that Darrell Williams left the game early with injury, Damien Williams was already inactive, and the Chiefs were up big in a game against a team that doesn’t defend the run all that well. We knew lack of volume could be possible and sure it enough it got us.

Week 14 Preview:

A little different approach this week as we are going with five guys we think are going to have big games and go over their totals. No negativity here from the BetCrushers this weekend. We passed on all of the quarterback numbers and went with some tight ends, a couple of running backs and a wide receiver with a great home matchup.

Our Picks:

Stefon Diggs – Over 4.5 Receptions (-115)

In the second half of their game in Seattle Stefon Diggs was shut out as the Vikings blew a lead in a game they could have won. While Minnesota will feature Dalvin Cook heavily their clear-cut number one at wide receiver will be Diggs with Adam Thielen missing another game with his groin injury. The Detroit Lions have been carved up through the air all season and this game shouldn’t be any different as Kirk Cousins has feasted against inferior competition, specifically at home. Diggs should get enough targets and find enough space in the secondary to grab five balls.

Benny Snell, Jr. – Over 51.5 Yards Rushing (-115)

Another missed game for James Conner means another start for Benny Snell, Jr. as the Steelers head west for a big game against the Cardinals. Snell had a really good game a week ago and it’s clear that Mike Tomlin trusts him to shoulder the load with Conner out rather than the expected Jaylen Samuels. It’s possible that both will get some carries Sunday but Snell will be the starter in a game that figures to have a lot of running on both sides of the ball. This will be even more the case for the Steelers as they’ll still look to use third-stringer Devlin Hodges in more of a game manager role rather than a gunslinger as Juju Smith-Schuster will also be missing the contest. The Cardinals have given up yardage on the ground as they are vulnerable in the middle of the defense. We’ll take the bait on Snell having to crack just over the half-century mark in yardage as he should have a productive game.

Alvin Kamara – Over 5.5 Receptions (+105)

A physical and key battle in the NFC between the 49ers and Saints provides an opportunity for a prop wager with a good player in a better circumstance. The Niners will be after Drew Brees pretty heavily, especially with some offensive linemen out of the lineup. Brees is a master at quick passes and is not afraid to take a checkdown when he’s under pressure which he figures to be Sunday. Michael Thomas and Jared Cook could also see some short to intermediate passes, but Kamara figures to be the main beneficiary of those targets. He’ll usually have at least a couple of screen passes in the game plan to begin with so we’re really only needing him to grab three or four checkdowns/routes throughout the course of the game. Big players make plays in big games and Brees and Kamara are about as good as it gets and this game is pretty large too.

Hunter Henry – Over 4 Receptions (-120)

Hunter Henry is often one of the more forgotten names when it comes to top tight ends in the league. That’s partially due to the fact that he’s been injury prone and missed some time in his young career. Henry is back and been a favorite target for Philip Rivers since his return and has a nice matchup against a defense that has been shredded in recent weeks. The weather looks great in Florida and there should be some points scored so with a banged up Jaguars defense, Henry is in line for a lot of targets. Rivers needs a good game and he should get it this Sunday, making Henry an attractive play.

Austin Hooper – Over 4 Receptions (-120)

It’s no coincidence that Matt Ryan was racking up yards throwing and that trend slowed down when he lost Austin Hooper to his knee injury a month or so ago. Ryan and the Falcons are happy to have Hooper back along with number one receiver Julio Jones when they play the Panthers this Sunday in the dome. This game is expected to have a lot of points and could end up in a potential shootout. We know Julio Jones is going to get a lot of balls thrown his way and Calvin Ridley and the other weapons on offense will see their share of targets as well. But it’s Hooper that really has evolved as a go-to target for Ryan throughout this season and he will be that again in his return to the lineup. Hooper is generally good for 4-5 catches per game and with his total set at 4 in this specific matchup he seems like a “have-to” play even if he’s fresh off of injury.