PREVIOUS WEEK RESULTS:
6-1-1
SEASON RESULTS:
12-3-1
Week 2 Recap:
After a successful week one with 8 total prop bets, we kept that trend alive in week two with 8 more and actually improved with a 6-1-1 finish. Our lone loss was darn close to a win as Zach Ertz missed his yardage total by just 4 yards, while having a 14 yard pass called back on a very questionable offensive interference call. The rest of our plays went pretty much exactly how we felt they would with a few hitting early in the contests. The BetCrushers received a snarky comment on the Will Fuller V yardage under prior to the game, and all Fuller did was respond with a goose egg of not a single catch. Some covers feel even better than others.
Week 3 Preview:
There were a few nice matchups in week two of the season, but week three offers some serious heat with the Packers/Saints and Chiefs/Ravens topping off a good weekend of interesting games. We’re looking at playing some fun overs and fading a couple of Hall of Famers and total of 3 QBs for some unders. Bettors can be a superstitious bunch at times and we’re no exception to that rule. Since 8 plays have worked well in weeks one and two we’re going to stick with that formula and submit 8 more. Best of luck and enjoy week number three.
Our Picks:
Nick Mullens – Under 254.5 Yards
Passing (-110)
For everything that seemed to go well for the San Francisco 49ers in 2019, a recalibration seems to be taking place early in the season for the defending NFC champs. There have been a ton of injuries across the league and the Niners are unfortunately leading the league when it comes to that dubious honor. Included in that is quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo who will miss the contest against the Giants meaning Nick Mullens will get the nod. Mullens was a nice story and has played pretty well in his limited appearances. The challenge for Mullens against New York is the team is missing 40% of their salary capped roster, with key losses on both the defensive side of the ball, and in a hit to Mullens on the offensive side. The receiving corp is thin and All-Pro tight end George Kittle will miss his second straight game. The Giants aren’t an elite defense, but they’ve played decent against the pass and James Bradberry has been a huge addition at the cornerback position. This may be an ugly game and we’re banking on the lack of talent around Mullens leading to him staying under 255 yards passing.
Matthew Stafford – Over 274.5 Yards Passing (-110)
The offense for the Lions and quarterback Matthew Stafford has looked pretty average early in the season. This was a team and QB we had circled in before the year as one that would be putting a lot of points and yards up each weekend. We won’t grade them down just yet as they were missing their biggest weapon in wide receiver Kenny Golladay. The signs point to Golladay returning against the Cardinals which should open things up for the entire offense. The Cardinals defense has been much improved so far, however they haven’t had to match up with the amount of players that the Lions have on their offense. This game is expected to be a shootout and we expect Stafford to hit the 300 yard mark throwing making the yardage total a must play for us.
Devin Singletary – Over 62.5 Yards Rushing (-110)
We squeaked by on our over for Devin Singletary in week two and we’re looking to play him again against the Rams. Despite Aaron Donald who is a man among boys on the football field, LA has not been great against the run in their first two contests allowing nearly 5 yards per carry. In the first two games, Singletary was in a just over 50-50 timeshare with rookie Zack Moss. On Friday it was announced Moss will miss the game opening the door for Singletary to see more action on Sunday. With a yardage total of just 62.5 this seems like another good opportunity to cash in on his over.
John Brown – Over 3.5 Receptions (-110)
The addition of Stefon Diggs in Buffalo has garnered some media attention, and Diggs has not disappointed so far. Diggs will have a fun matchup against Rams cornerback Jalen Ramsey in what should be a battle all day long. The biggest beneficiary on offense for Buffalo will be the quiet John Brown who should see more targets with Ramsey locked in on Diggs. Brown caught 4 balls in their opener and 6 last week so based on the situational football here, there’s no reason to believe he won’t grab at least 4 again.
Tom Brady – Under 252.5 Yards Passing (-110)
If you read our breakdown of taking Tom Brady’s passing yardage total under a week ago, you can pretty much skip this as it’s almost identical. Brady will face a Denver defense that’s a little beat up and not quite what he’s used to facing there hoping for positive results. The good news is he’ll have wide receiver Chris Godwin back after missing last week which should provide a spark in the passing game. Despite that, we’re still waiting for Brady to prove us wrong in the sense that he simply is not a near automatic 300 yard passer as he was for many seasons in New England. Even playing a mostly good game in week two, he fell short of his yardage total and we expect that will be the case again.
Kareem Hunt – Over 61.5 Yards Rushing and Receiving (-110)
No one can argue that Nick Chubb is a Pro Bowl caliber running back in the NFL. You could make the argument though that his backup Kareem Hunt is possibly even better, and the stats might support you on that. Hunt has been splitting time with Chubb and when he’s had his opportunities he has absolutely taken advantage of them. The Browns face a Redskins defense that is tough and gritty under new head coach Ron Rivera and this game looks like the type where running backs will be featured. Hunt has been more of a pass catcher in the Browns offense, but when he has carried the ball he’s averaging a ridiculous seven yards per tote. His total yards from scrimmage total is set at 61.5 and considering he’s rushed for more yards than that including against a tough Ravens defense, it sure seems like he’ll be able to eclipse it through the air and the ground.
DeAndre Hopkins – Over 6.5 Receptions (-110)
Many people expected Kyler Murray to take a big leap in his second season in Arizona, and the addition of DeAndre Hopkins seems to have sped up that development. The Cardinals take on the Lions in what most believe (The BetCrushers included) will be a shootout type of game. Detroit really has struggled in pass coverage as rookie cornerback Jeff Okudah was picked on in his first start last week. It’s tough to see how the Lions are going to be able to cover Hopkins, who by the way has seen the highest volume of targets his way through two weeks. It’s no slam dunk to bet on a receiver to catch 7 balls, but if anyone can do it this week it’s DeAndre Hopkins.
Drew Brees – Under 278.5 Yards Passing (-110)
The BetCrushers are big supporters of Drew Brees and honestly are pulling for him to regain his form in what figures to be his last season in the NFL. It’s hard to know for sure if Brees has simply not been crisp, if he just misses the league’s best pass catcher from a season ago, or if his age finally has caught up with him? We’ll get another opportunity to try to answer those questions in the highly anticipated Sunday Night Football game against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. The Packers have played well going back to last season against the pass and without Michael Thomas Brees is going to have to spread it around for the Saints to move the ball. It won’t be completely surprising if Sean Payton decides to do what he hates, and tries to get the offense going on the ground. With a good pass rush from Green Bay and a solid secondary Brees could have trouble again in prime-time. If you had told us in the past Drew Brees was facing Aaron Rodgers in primetime in the dome, we would have said 300 yards was an absolute lock. It’s 2020 folks, and pretty much everything is not what it used to be.